Geopolitical Tensions & Second Wave Fears Send Stocks Lower

Geopolitical tensions in Asia, combined with fears of a second coronavirus flare up in China are weighing on risk sentiment, overshadowing hopes of a cheap covid-19 life saving drug.

Downtrend 2

Investors have turned cautious overnight as geopolitical tension in Asia, combined with fears of a second coronavirus flare up in China are weighing on risk sentiment, overshadowing hopes of a cheap covid-19 life saving drug. Asian markets moved lower, European bourses are pointing to a move southward on the open, meanwhile safe havens such as the US Dollar and gold are trading mildly higher.

China now has 130 reported new cases in Beijing and is struggling to contain the spread of the virus, without sealing off its most important city. Schools have been close and flights cancelled. South Korea has also reported 43 new cases in 24 hours, in the US Florida’s infections reached a new high and Texas has seen hospitalisations surge. 

Fears of a second wave could weigh heavily on confidence. As Powell warned a full US economic recovery will not occur until Americans are sure that covid-19 has been bought under control. That goes not just for the US but across the globe.

Market confidence is being challenged, even after US retail sales obliterated expectations on Tuesday, boosting hopes that a quick recovery from the coronavirus crisis was still possible. However, Federal Reserve Powell warned that output and employment would remain short of pre-pandemic levels for a long time.

Drug Breakthrough
News of a major breakthrough in the fight against coronavirus has failed to bring in a strong reaction in the market. A low dose, cheap steroid dexamethasone can hep save lives for those patients on ventilators. This is a positive step forward,which is helping to underpin sentiment.

Trade Deal Optimism 
In the UK, the FTSE looks set to fare marginally better than its European peers. Hopes that Boris Johnson could scarp the two-meter rule soon, in addition to optimism surrounding trade deals with Australia and New Zealand are helping to underpin sentiment. 

GBP Gains As Inflation +0.5% yoy in May
The Pound has unexpectedly spiked into positive territory versus the USD following the release of some pretty grim inflation data. Consumer prices were flat month on moth in May, however, on an annual basis inflation increased a lacklustre 0.5%, down from 0.8% but in line with expectation. In a classic glass half full approach, the Pound is taking solace from the fact that inflation wasn’t worse than forecast.

This reading is unlikely to prompt the Bank of England to cut rates when it gives its rate announcement tomorrow. An additional £100 billion in QE is already priced in.


More from FTSE 100

Disclaimer: The information on this web site is not targeted at the general public of any particular country. It is not intended for distribution to residents in any country where such distribution or use would contravene any local law or regulatory requirement. The information and opinions in this report are for general information use only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any currency or CFD contract. All opinions and information contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This report has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any particular recipient. Any references to historical price movements or levels is informational based on our analysis and we do not represent or warranty that any such movements or levels are likely to reoccur in the future. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness, nor does author assume any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.

Futures, Options on Futures, Foreign Exchange and other leveraged products involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. Increasing leverage increases risk. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are not available for US residents. Before deciding to trade forex and commodity futures, you should carefully consider your financial objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained herein is intended as general information about the subject matter covered and is provided with the understanding that we do not provide any investment, legal, or tax advice. You should consult with appropriate counsel or other advisors on all investment, legal, or tax matters. References to Forex.com or GAIN Capital refer to GAIN Capital Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.