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Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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Yesterday 05:54 PM
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GBP/JPY: Eying bullish break to multi-year highs ahead of key economic reports

GBP/JPY is on the cusp of breaking to fresh multi-year highs ahead of key inflation and employment data from the United Kingdom and Japan, making this a pair to keep on the radar over the next 48 hours.

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February 12, 2024 06:31 PM
japan_06

USD/JPY, Nikkei trading heavy as news flow bolsters case for BOJ rate hike

Japan has received a raft of bullish economic news today, sending Japanese government bond yields higher while simultaneously placing downward pressure on USD/JPY and the Nikkei 225.

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January 24, 2024 12:41 AM

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GBP/JPY teases 2015 high post BOJ, Crude oil eyes $77: European open

The US dollar and yen were the weakest FX majors during the Asian session, following reports of China stimulus and no change in policy from the BOJ. GBP/JPY has probed a key resistance level and crude oil shows the potential to extend yesterday's gains.

japan_02

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 whipsawed as BOJ provides few clues on rate hike timeline

Japan’s Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY have been whipsawed following the BOJ January interest rate decision with policymakers providing few clues as to whether they’re likely to lift interest rates out of negative territory for the first time in nearly a decade later in the year.

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January 22, 2024 10:59 PM
japan_03

EUR/JPY: US data in control without BOJ or ECB rate shock

EUR/JPY sits near two-month highs heading into the BOJ and ECB interest rate decisions, consolidating after a strong rally that saw the pair add nearly eight big figures from the lows of December.

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January 22, 2024 06:23 PM
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ASX 200, AUD/JPY bouncing back with improved risk appetite

With risk appetite back in full swing and market indicators on US recession risk providing a green light for the soft landing narrative, cyclicals such as Australia’s ASX 200 and AUD/JPY recovered last week, returning to the uptrend they’ve been in since the risk rival revival took hold in late October.

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January 21, 2024 07:44 PM
japan_06

USD/JPY, GBP/JPY: Disinflation trend a headache for hawkish Bank of Japan

Disinflation is gripping Japan as seen in other advanced economies before it, underlining the difficulties facing the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in eradicating the deflationary mindset that has dogged the nation for decades.

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January 18, 2024 08:01 PM
japan_03

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, and GBP/JPY Near Decade+ Highs

GBP/JPY looks particularly strong, but both USD/JPY and EUR/JPY remain in clear bullish trends.

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January 17, 2024 03:46 PM
japan_03

Recent Nikkei bulls face their first real test

Recent adoptees of a bullish Nikkei stance are facing their first real test with a distinct risk-off tone settling in across the Asian region, seeing the index reverse slightly after hitting fresh 34-year highs on Monday.

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January 15, 2024 08:21 PM
japan_03

USD/JPY: Japanese wage growth slumps in blow to BOJ’s rate hike ambitions

If the Bank of Japan was looking for evidence of growing wage pressures to justify abandoning negative interest rates, it wasn’t found in the latest government report for November.

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January 9, 2024 07:47 PM
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USD/JPY 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview

Even though there is scope for yield spreads to widen again in 2024, the bias for USD/JPY remains moderately lower...

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December 28, 2023 03:12 PM
japan_04

USD/JPY closes back above its 200-day average ahead of BOJ meeting: Asian Open

Explore the potential impact of BOJ's decision on USD/JPY and uncover the RBA's monetary policy minutes for valuable insights.

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December 18, 2023 05:02 PM
japan_06

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225, AUD/USD: BOJ may push back against mounting rate hike bets

USD/JPY tumbled on Thursday on speculation the BOJ may move pre-emptively to lift interest rates before wage pressures have materialised. Such a move would be economically risky and go against recent BOJ statements.

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December 7, 2023 06:43 PM
japan_02

USD/JPY: BOJ not giving up on abolishing negative interest rate policy despite obvious risks

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda is not giving up on normalising monetary policy despite significant uncertainty over the outlook for the Japanese and global economies, putting USD/JPY under modest pressure on what’s been an otherwise quiet session in Asia.

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December 6, 2023 11:18 PM
japan_09

USD/JPY Analysis: Moment of Truth for the Yen’s 2023 Trend

USD/JPY bulls are defending support in the 147.00 area, but the pair is vulnerable to a big breakdown from here...

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December 5, 2023 03:36 PM
japan_06

USD/JPY: Offshore drivers remain in control unless the BOJ can normalise policy

USD/JPY traders barely acknowledged the release of Japan’s October inflation report, reinforcing the view the only thing that matters for the pair right now is developments in the US economy, unless the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signals or starts to normalise monetary policy.

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November 23, 2023 07:27 PM

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japan_03

AUD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Weaker Japanese yen adds to near-term upside risk

Whether it’s any major FX pair against the yen or the Nikkei 225, the last of least resistance right now seems to be higher with the BOJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance.

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November 13, 2023 08:11 PM
japan_06

USD/JPY: Weakening upstream inflation bodes ill for BOJ wage acceleration

USD/JPY is trading 40 pips away from multi-decade highs as upstream inflationary pressures in Japan are coming off hard. Perhaps that explains we've had no verbal intervention attempts from the government today?

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November 12, 2023 09:02 PM
japan_03

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Narrowing yield differentials with the US amplify downside risks

If you believe the Fed is done hiking rates and will be forced to ease policy aggressively next year, it’s hard to be bullish USD/JPY or the Nikkei 225 given the role yield differentials and FX fluctuations have played in underpinning both this year.

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November 5, 2023 08:24 PM
japan_10

Nikkei 225, USD/JPY: Situation “tense” as speculative moves amplify BOJ intervention risk

Japan’s Nikkei 225 has endured a whirlwind 24 hours, mirroring the USD/JPY in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s (BPJ) October monetary policy meeting. It’s surged more than 1000 points from the lows hit on Tuesday, largely reflecting stiffening tailwinds for Japanese exporter earnings.

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October 31, 2023 08:41 PM
japan_09

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Bouncing back despite BOJ abandoning hard cap on bond yields

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 are rising in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) latest interest rate decision, reacting to a smaller-than-expected adjustment to the banks yield curve control (YCC) program.

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October 31, 2023 01:04 AM
japan_08

USD/JPY implied volatility spikes ahead of BOJ: Asian Open – 31/10/2023

1-day implied volatility has blown out on USD/JPY ahead of today’s BOJ meeting, with its 100-pip implied move coming in at 292% of its 20-day average and the 5-day implied volatility sitting at 179 pips.

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October 30, 2023 05:00 PM