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Informe COT semanal: se forman divergencias entre los precios de FX y el posicionamiento general
Dado que los datos se compilaron antes de la reunión del FOMC, es probable que haya algunas distorsiones en el informe de posicionamiento especulativo de esta semana.
European Open: Volatility Hints at an Upside Break for the S&P 500
A volatile candle seen during yesterday’s session has us on guard for a potential bullish breakout on the S&P 500 futures market today.
NZ Q2 GDP data smashes expectations and boosts NZDUSD
In today's first instalment of an Antipodean data double header, New Zealand Q2 GDP smashed expectations, expanding by 2.8% after a 1.4% rise in the March quarter.
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Asian Open: Oil’s Rally and Strong Inflation Support the Canadian Dollar
After what felt long a long wait, oil prices finally broke out of their ranges after teasing bulls with an upside breakout since last week.
NZDUSD treads water ahead of Thursdays Q2 GDP data release
Global new covid cases are continuing to fall. China and Japan have seen a sharp fall in new cases. In NSW, the numbers are finally heading in the right direction, and in New Zealand, the seven-day rolling average has fallen from 66 at the end of August to 22.4.
Why the Dow Jones and the NZDUSD appear vulnerable
The month of September is statistically the weakest month of the year for U.S equities. The average decline in September over the past ten years has been -0.60%. Negative prints can be observed in five of the ten years, including a -7% fall in 2011, a -2.5% fall in 2015, and a -4% fall in 2020.
European Open: China Services PMI Follows Manufacturing Lower
China’s strict lockdown measures have also seen the service sector contract, which points to slower growth for the world’s second largest economy.
Asian Open: Consumer Sentiment Slumps, NZD Up as COVID Cases Fall
Another consumer survey in the US fell notably in August, backing up the earlier University of Michigan Consumer Survey’s dire print.
Asian Open: S&P 500 Hits 50th Record High This Year (Just)
Wall Street rose marginally to new highs on relatively light volumes ahead of tomorrow’s speech form Jerome Powell, at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Extended NZ lockdown to overshadow strong retail sales and keep NZDUSD suppressed
The grey clouds that enveloped New Zealand last week and caused the RBNZ to defer its highly anticipated rate rise on Wednesday have darkened today.
Delta hinders plans for RBA to taper and highlights fragility of RBNZ tightening cycle
In another volatile session in Asia as the spread of delta variant intensifies across the region, the minutes from the RBA's August meeting outlined what might cause the RBA to reconsider its decision to taper its QE program.
RBNZ inflation expectations survey at a 7 year high fails to boost NZDUSD
As Australia continues to struggle to control the outbreak of the Delta variant across various states, a set of different problems are confronting New Zealand.
[Video] WTI Closes Below $70, Silver Fails to Break Key Resistance
After three-day of selling, WTI shows the potential for a bounce yet it may struggle to rally back above $70 in the current environment.
European Open: Traders Bet on RBNZ Hike(s), ISM Service PMI in Focus
New Zealand’s strong employment report sent the Kiwi dollar firmly higher as traders now expect them to the first central bank to hike rates.
Asian Open: One Hot CPI Down, Two Central Bank Meetings to Go
The US CPI report lived up to the hype, exceeding most estimates to push the dollar broadly higher and send equities off-of their highs. Traders now have RBNZ and BOC meetings on the horizon.
Asian Open: USD Enters a Corrective Phase, NZD/USD Set to Bounce?
A strong NFP print of Friday sent US equities soaring to new highs, commodities rall and the USD falter at its 3-month high, which paves the way for counter-trend moves.
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European Open: NZ Avoids Double-Dip Recession, EUR/NZD to Turn?
New Zealand’s strong GDP beat the consensus and RBNZ’s gloomy expectations for a contraction in Q1. And that makes EUR/NZD of interest given it has struggled to hold above 1.7000.
Asian Open: NZD Powers Ahead, CAD Bulls Lighten Their Load
RBNZ’s hawkish surprise saw the Kiwi dollar trade higher through all three sessions yesterday. It also appears to have spurned some profit taking on an (arguably) over-stretched Canadian dollar.
European Open: NZD Rips Higher Post-RBNZ, EUR/GBP Coils At Its Highs
A hawkish RBNZ meeting saw NZD broadly higher and make notable gains against JPY, CHF and USD. Euro pairs remain firm and we have EUR/GBP and EUR/USD in focus this session.
European Open: Trading Volumes to Return in Europe, NZD Firm Ahead of RBNZ
With parts of Europe to return to their desks after their 3-day weekends then trading activity (and therefore volumes) should rise today. Also take note that RBNZ hold their policy meeting overnight.
Currency Pair of the Week: AUD/NZD
The RBNZ meeting and the Australian Employment are both this week!