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Par de divisas de la semana: EUR/USD
Con el IPP alemán el lunes y los datos económicos de la UE y EE.UU. esta semana, junto con las actas del FOMC, el EUR/USD podría ser bastante volátil.
Semana por delante: ¿Qué esperar de los mercados luego de la alta volatilidad de la semana pasada?
¿Será esta semana tan volátil y caótica como la semana pasada? ¿Continuarán los mercados con la tendencia de la semana pasada o habrá una toma de ganancias en el camino?
Asian Open: Traders Are Their Most Bearish on AUD Futures on Record
An extremely dovish RBA has seen net-short exposure on the Aussie hit a new record. Yet the move lacks conviction as we continue to see both long and short bets decline.
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Asian Open: Wall Street Lower on Relatively High Inflation
CPI data may have softened relative to expectations, but with core CPI rising 4% YoY the Fed can hardly claim victory about transitory inflation just yet.
Asian Open: European Indices reach For Their Highs, RBA Up Next
A dovish Fed an expectations of further stimulus from China and Japan continued to boost sentiment yesterday. RBA are set to announce their OCR decision at 14:30 AEST.
Asian Open: ISM Eases, Fed Hints at Early Taper, RBA Up Next
ISM manufacturing data tracked China’s PMI lower in July, although it remains at a relatively higher level both historically and compared to China’s manufacturing PMI.
RBA back in the same boat as the FOMC, despite higher inflation
The RBA will be less concerned with inflation and more concerned with monetary stimulus
The ECB expects inflation to be near target before the RBA does: EUR/AUD
As long as European inflation expectations are higher than those of Australia, EUR/AUD should remain bid
European Open: RBA Hold, Traders Price In an Early RBNZ Rate Hike
Strong domestic data released for New Zealand overnight saw NZD trade broadly higher as traders suspect their first hike could come as early as this year.
Asian Open: Oil Rallies as OPEC+ Talks Break Down, RBA Up Next
WTI is within striking distance of its October 2018 high as the stalemate among OPEC+ members over output policy remained in place.
NFP miss boosts the case for further upside in gold
Following the large beat by the ADP employment report last Thursday night, Fridays Non-Farm Payrolls data was rapidly elevated to the status of the most important economic number since the pandemic due to its ability to provide a more concrete timetable for tapering.
Asian Open: Trading Volumes To Be Restored, RBA Up Next
With traders in the UK and US set to return to their desks we expect trading volumes to recover over the next 24 hrs. RBA hold their policy meeting at 11:30 AEST, although no change is expected.
European Open: RBA hold rates, traders return to their desks
RBA held rates and their bond target steady as expected. And hopefully we should see trading volumes (and volatility) return as exchanges reopen after the Easter weekend.
Currency Pair of the Week: AUD/USD
Both the RBA and the US Federal Reserve are turning their attention almost entirely towards maximizing employment
European Open: Indices mixed, oil and energy lower, RBA hold rates
With no surprises by the RBA and mixed data from Asia, traders looked to weaker oil prices for a lead.
Currency pair of the week: AUD/USD
Direction of AUD/USD is going to depend on comments from central banks regarding the recent spike in yields.
RBA Minutes Drives The Aussie Lower
The Australian dollar fell to the bottom of the pack following today’s RBA minutes, as traders questioned RBA’s confidence in their labour market forecasts.