
European Open China PMI Beats Equities Rise Ahead of NFP
There’s an air of confidence ahead of today’s NFP, with equity futures and commodities rising overnight. So bulls had best hope it delivers to avoid disappointment.
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AUD/USD (daily chart) has sustained its slide of the past several days to dip below the key 0.9000 psychological level and approach a resumption of the strong bearish trend that has been in place since the April high near 1.0600. The past several weeks have seen an upside correction that hit a high of 0.9232, but that correction was rather minor and short-lived within the context of the much larger bearish trend. The key downside level to watch continues to be major support at 0.8850, which is not only a strong historical support/resistance level but is also the pivotal long-term low that was hit in early August before the upside correction. A breakdown below 0.8850 would confirm a continuation of the four-month plunging trend. In this event, a key intermediate support objective to the downside resides around the 0.8600 level.
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USD/JPY forecast: US dollar strengths amid hawkish Fed despite recent oil weakness
The US dollar has extended its gains this morning, even if oil prices finished lower for the fifth consecutive day yesterday. Oil prices have bounced back in this first half of today’s session, causing a bit of pressure on currencies that rely on energy imports such as the euro, pound, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen. But it was the dollar that was exerting the most pressure, amid hawkish FedSpeak. Meanwhile, European indices and precious metals were also under a bit of pressure amid the strength of the dollar.

USD/JPY and USD/CHF Could Diverge as CHF/JPY Approaches Resistance
USD/JPY and USD/CHF retain bullish structures, but CHF/JPY resistance could expose a divergence between the two US dollar pairs.

EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD Outlook: Rates, risk and metals reinforce bearish technical case
EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD are coiling near support, with recent correlations suggesting the Aussie’s strength is being driven more by rates, risk and metals than energy.
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