Nasdaq 100 warning signs mount after brutal October
The Nasdaq 100 has printed a bearish monthly key reversal after a brutal October, with weak market breadth and heavy losses among AI beneficiaries raising the risk of further downside.
Fundamental Analysis
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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook: Oil shock offsets mounting AI concerns
USD/JPY has barely moved despite tumbling US Treasury yields and a sharp selloff in AI stocks. Can elevated energy prices continue to offset the pressure?
Gold Outlook: Fed credibility takes a hit, but buyers aren't biting
The Fed's inflation-fighting credibility takes another knock, real yields are falling and the dollar is softening. Gold should be flying, yet buyers remain reluctant. What's going on?
RBA rate hike bets surge as Australian inflation heats up
Australia's inflation problem extends well beyond energy, with markets now pricing further RBA hikes into 2027. So why has AUD/USD reversed sharply after its initial surge?
Kiwi crushed as RBNZ delivers shock hold
RBNZ shocks, Kiwi collapses. NZD/USD faces a major technical test while AUD/NZD surges on diverging interest rate expectations. Is there more to come?
EUR/USD Outlook: AI sentiment returns as French debt fears fades
French debt was the market's obsession a week ago. Now, short-term correlations suggest technology sentiment may be calling more of the shots, with central bank decisions and heavyweight tech earnings threatening to accelerate the euro's decline.
FOMC Meeting Preview: Is Warsh Even Capable of Delivering a Hawkish Hold?
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in ~90% odds that the FOMC leaves rates unchanged this week, but the big question is whether FOMC Chairman Warsh can deliver a true hawkish hike.
AUD/USD, NZD/USD face explosive CPI, RBNZ doubleheader
Aussie and Kiwi have gone remarkably quiet ahead of Australian inflation data and RBNZ decision. With substantial tightening priced and both events capable of generating major FX swings, Wednesday could deliver a volatility eruption in the antipodes.
USD/JPY bulls back in business as AI trade roars back
The AI investment boom rolls on, with Anthropic and Meta helping revive enthusiasm across Wall Street. USD/JPY has responded with a bullish reversal pattern, putting its former trading range back in focus ahead of major central bank decisions and technology earnings.
USD/CAD reversal risk builds as central bank showdown looms
USD/CAD has delivered a bullish reversal signal from established support, just as traders prepare for Fed and BoC decisions. Aggressive Canadian rate hike expectations and conflicting momentum signals make the coming session important.
USD/JPY Weekly Outlook: AI earnings could overshadow the Fed and BoJ
AI sentiment has become a major driver of US Treasury yields and USD/JPY. With Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon reporting this week, central bank decisions may have competition for traders' attention.
USD/JPY, Nikkei Break Lower as AI Meltdown Spreads
Thursday’s tech tantrum has become Friday’s fire sale. With Nikkei support giving way and the yen strengthening, could the selling start feeding on itself?
Gold, silver outlook: Trading the ranges before the next break
Gold and silver have been going nowhere fast, but their narrowing ranges may offer trading opportunities. We look at the macro drivers, developing chart patterns and levels to watch.
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