EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD Outlook: Rates, risk and metals reinforce bearish technical case
EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD are coiling near support, with recent correlations suggesting the Aussie’s strength is being driven more by rates, risk and metals than energy.
Articles tagged with "fundamental-analysis"
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Nikkei threatens breakout as tech rebound broadens
Breakouts across the SOX and Nasdaq are being matched by rebounds across Asia, with the Nikkei now threatening to join the move.
NZD/USD: US yield advantage keeps pressure on the Kiwi
NZD/USD has become unusually sensitive to relative front-end rates, with the US two-year yield advantage now near historically extreme levels.
Nasdaq breakout builds as crude falls and chip stocks surge
Lower oil prices, semiconductor strength and improving technical momentum are helping Nasdaq futures overcome a hostile backdrop of higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.
Gold, silver shrug off a brutal macro stress test
A hawkish Fed, surging short-dated Treasury yields and a firmer dollar failed to deliver the kind of damage usually seen in precious metals.
USD/JPY weekly forecast: Suspected rate check revives intervention threat
A hawkish Fed, a dovish BOJ hike and a suspected rate check have left USD/JPY caught between powerful rates support and renewed intervention risk.
BOJ split vote fuels yen weakness and Nikkei gains
A divided BOJ hike has left the yen under pressure and Nikkei bid, with Ueda now needing to convince markets that another two-and-a-half hikes by mid-2027 are justified.
USD/CAD forecast: Breakout gathers pace as US rates take over
US front-end rates have taken over as the dominant short-term driver for USD/CAD, with the price now testing a level that may determine whether the bullish breakout has legs.
EUR/USD outlook: Hawkish Fed puts euro on the ropes
The Fed delivered a unanimous hike, stronger economic projections and a more hawkish dot plot, giving markets little reason to unwind aggressive tightening bets and keeping the dollar firmly supported.
USD/JPY outlook: Central bank guidance key with a dash of Japanese fiscal pressure
The usual USD/JPY rates relationship broke down sharply earlier this month, but with speculative shorts flushed out and Japan’s curve re-steepening, the pair heads into the Fed and BOJ with far more two-way risk.
Gold, silver squeezed by yields as dollar threat lies dormant
Gold and silver are feeling the full force of surging US yields, but the dollar’s failure to join in may be saving them from an absolute drubbing.
Fed tightening cycles and the US dollar: what history shows
From 1994 and 1999 through to the dollar surge of 2022, history shows Fed tightening has produced very different outcomes for DXY.
USD/JPY outlook: Yen shorts flushed again as history points lower
Speculators have staged one of the largest yen positioning reversals on record, with past episodes often followed by further USD/JPY weakness.
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