
ASX 200 Rebound Stalls Despite Wall Street Surge
The ASX 200 rebound is struggling for traction despite a powerful Wall Street rally, leaving 8800 resistance and downside risks in focus.

The ASX 200 rebound is struggling for traction despite a powerful Wall Street rally, leaving 8800 resistance and downside risks in focus.

Breakouts across the SOX and Nasdaq are being matched by rebounds across Asia, with the Nikkei now threatening to join the move.

The trading week is getting underway with renewed bullish momentum across Nasdaq. This is reflected in today's session, where the index has gained more than 2.5%, highlighting a buying bias that has not been observed with this level of strength in several weeks.

Lower oil prices, semiconductor strength and improving technical momentum are helping Nasdaq futures overcome a hostile backdrop of higher Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar.

A divided BOJ hike has left the yen under pressure and Nikkei bid, with Ueda now needing to convince markets that another two-and-a-half hikes by mid-2027 are justified.

The ASX 200 has rebounded from the July low, but resistance around 8800 and 8875 could test the recovery.

A hawkish Fed knocked equities and gold lower for only a few hours, and both recovered their losses before the session was out.

The Fed was quite hawkish yesterday and we saw what kind of a reaction it triggered in the FX and equity markets. Yet despite those initial falls, index futures have already recovered to around their pre-FOMC levels at the time of writing today. The resilience of the stock market continues to surprise.

Over the past few trading sessions, price action in the Dow Jones Industrial Average has started to show consistent signs of weakness. In fact, the index has already posted a decline of nearly 1.00% over the last five trading days, a development that is beginning to reveal a bearish bias or, at the very least, growing caution across the market.

The ASX 200 suffered its worst week in six months as surging oil, higher bond yields and renewed rate-hike bets drove a broad risk-off move.

Dow Jones weakness links rising crude oil and Treasury yields with pressure on stocks, while a rebound leaves the broken uptrend unconfirmed.

US equity index futures surrendered an earlier midday bounce in London, as investors struggled to look past an increasingly uncomfortable macro backdrop. Higher oil prices and rising government bond yields are combining to put renewed pressure on risk assets, while the absence of a clear catalyst for improvement makes it difficult to see why investors would materially increase equity exposure at current levels.

US index futures and European markets were struggling to stay afloat after a weaker handover from Asia overnight, ahead of an eventful second half of the week. Rising oil prices and elevated bond yields were once again weighing on investor sentiment, keeping mild pressure on all sorts of risk assets.
This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.