
EURUSD closes the week on a strong note
Continued upside momentum after breakout: Chart
Share this:
On Monday, no major economic data is expected.
The Euro was also mixed against most of its major pairs but strongly bearish against the CAD. In Europe, Research firm Markit has published November U.K. Construction PMI at 54.7 (vs 52.0 expected). Separately, the German Federal Statistical Office has posted October factory orders at +2.9% (vs +1.5% on month expected).
The Australian dollar was weaker against most of its major pairs with the exception of the JPY and NZD.
Regarding the week's U.S. economic data front:
Factory Orders increased 1.0% on month in October (+0.8% expected), compared to a revised +1.3% in September. Durable Goods Orders rose 1.3% on month in the October final reading (as expected), in line with the October preliminary reading.
On the jobs front, Change in Nonfarm Payrolls dropped to 245K on month in November (460K expected), from a revised 610K in October. The Unemployment Rate declined to 6.7% on month in November (as expected), from 6.9% in October. Initial Jobless Claims declined to 712K for the week ending November 28th (775K expected), from a revised 787K in the week before. Continuing Claims dropped to 5,520K for the week ending November 21st (5,800K expected), from a revised 6,089K in the prior week. Automatic Data Processing's Employment Change showed that 307K jobs were added on month in November (440K expected), compared to a revised 404K jobs added in October.
Markit's US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index remained at 56.7 on month in the November final reading (as expected), in line with the November preliminary reading. Construction Spending rose 1.3% on month in October (+0.8% expected), compared to a revised -0.5% in September. Market News International's Chicago Business Barometer dropped to 58.2 on month in November (59.0 expected), from 61.1 in October.
The Trade Deficit expanded to 63.1 billion dollars on month in October (64.8 billion dollars expected), from a revised 62.1 billion dollars in September.
Regarding housing, The Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Applications slipped 0.6% for the week ending November 27th, compared to +3.9% in the previous week. Pending Homes Sales declined 1.1% on month in October (+1.0% expected), compared to a revised -2.0% in September.
Lastly, The Federal Reserve's Beige Book stated that most Districts described economic expansion as moderate since the last reporting period. Nearly all Districts reported that employment rose, but for most, at a slow pace and that a full recovery is still incomplete. In most Districts, companies disclosed that input prices rose modestly, along with selling prices of final goods. However, the rise in Covid-19 cases has brought about more school and plant closures as well as renewed fears of infection.
The most active currency pair of the week was the EURUSD which climbed 1.56% (187 pips). From a technical perspective, the pair is gaining upside momentum after breaking above a consolidation zone that was in place since July. As long as 1.20 remains support, look for a continuation of the uptrend towards our next target resistance level of 1.2265 and 1.2415 in extension. A break below 1.20 could pressure the pair back into a consolidation.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
On Monday, no major economic data is expected.
The Euro was also mixed against most of its major pairs but strongly bearish against the CAD. In Europe, Research firm Markit has published November U.K. Construction PMI at 54.7 (vs 52.0 expected). Separately, the German Federal Statistical Office has posted October factory orders at +2.9% (vs +1.5% on month expected).
The Australian dollar was weaker against most of its major pairs with the exception of the JPY and NZD.
Regarding the week's U.S. economic data front:
Factory Orders increased 1.0% on month in October (+0.8% expected), compared to a revised +1.3% in September. Durable Goods Orders rose 1.3% on month in the October final reading (as expected), in line with the October preliminary reading.
On the jobs front, Change in Nonfarm Payrolls dropped to 245K on month in November (460K expected), from a revised 610K in October. The Unemployment Rate declined to 6.7% on month in November (as expected), from 6.9% in October. Initial Jobless Claims declined to 712K for the week ending November 28th (775K expected), from a revised 787K in the week before. Continuing Claims dropped to 5,520K for the week ending November 21st (5,800K expected), from a revised 6,089K in the prior week. Automatic Data Processing's Employment Change showed that 307K jobs were added on month in November (440K expected), compared to a revised 404K jobs added in October.
Markit's US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index remained at 56.7 on month in the November final reading (as expected), in line with the November preliminary reading. Construction Spending rose 1.3% on month in October (+0.8% expected), compared to a revised -0.5% in September. Market News International's Chicago Business Barometer dropped to 58.2 on month in November (59.0 expected), from 61.1 in October.
The Trade Deficit expanded to 63.1 billion dollars on month in October (64.8 billion dollars expected), from a revised 62.1 billion dollars in September.
Regarding housing, The Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Applications slipped 0.6% for the week ending November 27th, compared to +3.9% in the previous week. Pending Homes Sales declined 1.1% on month in October (+1.0% expected), compared to a revised -2.0% in September.
Lastly, The Federal Reserve's Beige Book stated that most Districts described economic expansion as moderate since the last reporting period. Nearly all Districts reported that employment rose, but for most, at a slow pace and that a full recovery is still incomplete. In most Districts, companies disclosed that input prices rose modestly, along with selling prices of final goods. However, the rise in Covid-19 cases has brought about more school and plant closures as well as renewed fears of infection.
The most active currency pair of the week was the EURUSD which climbed 1.56% (187 pips). From a technical perspective, the pair is gaining upside momentum after breaking above a consolidation zone that was in place since July. As long as 1.20 remains support, look for a continuation of the uptrend towards our next target resistance level of 1.2265 and 1.2415 in extension. A break below 1.20 could pressure the pair back into a consolidation.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
The complete CFD trading experience
Award-winning platforms, competitive spreads, low commissions and dedicated support.
We live and breathe the markets and are dedicated to helping traders realise their ambitions as we continue to set the industry bar.
Economic calendar
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

NZD/USD pressure mounts as payrolls looms large
NZD/USD has fallen sharply as Fed rate expectations reset higher, but extreme downside stretch and major support raise the risk of a violent counter-trend rebound.

US Core PCE Preview: Stale or Significant for the Fed
Core PCE inflation takes center stage Wednesday, with traders watching for signs of renewed price pressure and clues on whether the Fed could hike again in October.

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Four-Week Slide Nears Critical Uptrend Support 9 29 2026
Aussie momentum has deteriorated sharply into quarter-end, with inflation, Core PCE and NFP on tap as AUD/USD closes in on a pivotal technical threshold.
StoneX Europe Ltd may make third party material available on this website which may contain information included but not limited to the conditions of financial markets. The material is for information purposes only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or investment recommendation and/or an investment research and/or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the client following an assessment by him/her of their situation.
StoneX Europe Ltd makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. We are not under any obligation to update any such material. Any opinion made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinion of StoneX Europe Ltd.





