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FX Brief Canadian CPI eyed

A summary of news and snapshot of moves ahead of the US session.

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FX Brief: Canadian CPI eyed

  • NZD strongest, AUD weakest, while the Dollar Index is a touch lower after yesterday’s data-fuelled rally. EUR has found some mild support.
  • UK headline and core CPI were both flat in June, keeping the year-over-year rate at 2.0% with core edging up to 1.8% from 1.7%, both as expected. Eurozone CPI was unexpectedly revised higher to 1.3% from 1.2%, with core CPI remaining unchanged at 1.1%.  European car registrations fell sharply in June, resuming their downward spiral. Canadian CPI up next.
  • Stock indices lower as Trump reignited trade war fears: “We have a long way to go as far as tariffs where China is concerned… We have another $325 billion we can put a tariff on.” Meanwhile stock investors are also digesting bank earnings, which are coming in thick and fast, with Bank of America beating quarterly profit estimates today, boosted by strong retail division and cost control. Watch Netflix tonight – your favourite show(s) or the stock’s reaction to its earnings, whichever rocks your boat.


  • NZD strongest, AUD weakest, while the Dollar Index is a touch lower after yesterday’s data-fuelled rally. EUR has found some mild support.
  • UK headline and core CPI were both flat in June, keeping the year-over-year rate at 2.0% with core edging up to 1.8% from 1.7%, both as expected. Eurozone CPI was unexpectedly revised higher to 1.3% from 1.2%, with core CPI remaining unchanged at 1.1%.  European car registrations fell sharply in June, resuming their downward spiral. Canadian CPI up next.
  • Stock indices lower as Trump reignited trade war fears: “We have a long way to go as far as tariffs where China is concerned… We have another $325 billion we can put a tariff on.” Meanwhile stock investors are also digesting bank earnings, which are coming in thick and fast, with Bank of America beating quarterly profit estimates today, boosted by strong retail division and cost control. Watch Netflix tonight – your favourite show(s) or the stock’s reaction to its earnings, whichever rocks your boat.


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EUR/USD forecast: Eurozone stagflation risks mount as dollar holds firm ahead of data

The dollar was bouncing back at the time of writing, after it had eased overnight on the back of some weaker-than-expected economic data yesterday which had prompted markets to scale back expectations of an October Fed rate hike. However, with more significant US data due today and Friday, and with oil prices continuing to remain elevated, the dollar’s broader direction remains bullish.

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