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Week Ahead: OPEC+, RBA, BOC, and China CPI

Although this may be a light week for economic data, there are plenty of events taking place that could cause the markets to be volatile.

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December 2, 2022 10:16 PM
"Newspaper snippet of jobs board"

Non-farm Payrolls stronger than expected. Does that change the Fed’s plan?

Chances are that Powell and gang stick to the plan and only hike 50bps. However, that’s not to say that they can’t increase rates later if they deem it necessary.

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December 2, 2022 05:04 PM
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Forex Friday: USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GOLD and YIELDS

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar, gold, yen and euro, and look forward to the week ahead.

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Jobs

Two trades to watch: USD/CAD, GBP/USD

USD/CAD looks to US & Canadian jobs data. GBP/USD rally continues ahead of the NFP.

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December 2, 2022 09:59 AM
Research

European Open: Currency markets pause for NFP, Equities pull back

Today’s NFP report is the main event for traders, and the consensus forecasts is for headline job growth to soften to 200k (261k previously), and the unemployment rate remain at 3.7%.

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December 2, 2022 06:35 AM
Federal Reserve eagle

US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower

If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.

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December 1, 2022 06:11 PM
Research

GBP/USD retraces 50pc of decline…

…time for a reality check?

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December 1, 2022 06:00 PM
Congress building

US open: Stocks rise and USD drops as core PCE cools

US stocks are rising, building on yesterday's strong gains after core PCE eased to 5% YoY, down from 5.2%.

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December 1, 2022 02:55 PM
Research

S&P digesting market’s (over)reaction to Powell speech

Perhaps the markets were not expecting the Fed Chair to explicitly imply that the FOMC will indeed hike by 50bps in December

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December 1, 2022 12:47 PM

Two trades to watch: DAX, USD/JPY

DAX rallies post-Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech. USD/JPY falls to a 3-month low ahead of core-PCE.

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December 1, 2022 09:24 AM
Close-up of market chart

European Open: Flash PMIs and US inflation on tap

The US dollar has continued lower overnight following Powell’s dovish comments, with US inflation data having the potential to extend or reverse some of its move.

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December 1, 2022 07:59 AM
U-turn sign against blue sky

OK Fed followers: When is a pivot, not a pivot?

Jerome Powell hit the wires and effectively confirmed that the Fed will slow their pace of tightening, reigniting the argument over what a ‘pivot’ is.

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December 1, 2022 04:32 AM
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November 30, 2022 10:01 PM
Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

USD/CAD holds between key levels ahead of Powell speech

Which direction will the Loonie break?

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November 30, 2022 06:22 PM
Oil rig in the sea

OPEC+ preview: Will OPEC+ cut production again?

According to recent “sources”, OPEC+ is likely to leave production unchanged when it meets virtually on December 4th.

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November 30, 2022 05:05 PM
Congress building

US open: Stocks edge higher in cautious trade ahead of Fed Chair Powell

Stocks are moving modestly higher after a mixed bag of data and ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell.

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November 30, 2022 03:05 PM
Research

DAX struggles as Eurozone CPI stays in double digits

The slightly softer Eurozone inflation data gives hope that the ECB is starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel in its fight against inflation

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November 30, 2022 01:41 PM

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Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, Gold

EUR/GBP rises ahead of eurozone inflation. Gold rises ahead of US data & Powell’s speech.

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November 30, 2022 09:45 AM
Research

European Open: China PMI’s disappoint, Jerome Powell in focus

China’s PMI’s may contracted at their fastest pace in 6-months, but hopes of China reopening have remained the focus to support sentiment.

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November 30, 2022 05:59 AM
Australian flag

Australian inflation fell… but just ‘weight’ a minute

Whilst Australia’s final inflation print for the year remains high by historical standards, it was much lower than expected at 6.9% y/y

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November 30, 2022 03:32 AM

Canadian Q3 GDP surprises to upside but the Canadian Dollar moves lower

USD/CAD made a large move higher today, though it doesn’t seem like it was based on fundamentals.

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November 29, 2022 05:04 PM
Finger pointing on market chart data

Technical Tuesday: S&P 500, Dollar Index, GBP/USD and Gold

In this week’s edition, we are getting technical on the Dollar Index, S&P 500, GBP/USD and gold

Finger pointing on market chart data

Technical Tuesday: S&P 500, Dollar Index, GBP/USD and Gold

In this week’s edition, we are getting technical on the Dollar Index, S&P 500, GBP/USD and gold