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In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar, gold, yen and euro, and look forward to the week ahead.

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US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower

If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.

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December 1, 2022 06:11 PM

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European Open: Double top forms on EUR/USD

The US dollar has found some stability following hawkish comments from Fed members, which has seen a double top pattern form on EUR/USD’s daily chart.

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November 29, 2022 05:29 AM

Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Oil

EUR/USD rises above 1.04 ahead of ECB minutes & German IFO business sentiment. Oil steadies after a steep fall.

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November 24, 2022 09:23 AM
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Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Oil

EUR/USD falls as German PPI plunges & on safe haven USD demand. Oil falls on China COVID fears.

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November 21, 2022 09:19 AM
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Philly Fed continues to fall; US Dollar doesn’t seem concerned

US Dollar bears may be looking for higher levels to sell, while EUR/USD bulls may be looking for better levels to buy.

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November 17, 2022 06:32 PM

Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, EUR/USD

GBP/USD rises ahead of the Chancellor’s Budget. EUR/USD holds steady ahead of Eurozone inflation data

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November 17, 2022 09:18 AM
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EUR/USD rebounds ahead of US retail sales

EUR/USD tests 200-day MA ahead of data release

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November 16, 2022 01:13 PM
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Technical Tuesday: EUR/USD, GOLD and Russell

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar, EUR/USD, gold and the Russell index.

Downward trend

US October PPI follows the CPI lower

Both the CPI and PPI are pointing towards a slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes for the Fed, to 50bps from 75bps.

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November 15, 2022 05:03 PM

European Open: EUR/USD consolidates ahead of GDP, ZEW and inflation data

A combination of data including GDP, inflation and a sentiment report from the US and Europe puts EUR/USD into focus for today’s session.

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November 15, 2022 06:03 AM
Forex trading

EUR/USD hits resistance on hawkish FedSpeak

Dollar rebounds as cautious Fed tone on inflation tempers expectations of looser monetary policy

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November 14, 2022 01:03 PM
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Two trades to watch;: FTSE, EUR/USD

FTSE rises after China property plan but can it last? EUR/USD slips after Fed Waller’s comments.

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November 14, 2022 09:17 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

Michigan Consumer Sentiment worse than expected; Inflation components roughly in-line

The November preliminary reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 54.7 vs an expectation of 59.5 and an October reading of 59.9.

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November 11, 2022 06:05 PM

European Open: EUR/USD implied volatility spikes ahead of mid-term results

At the time of writing, the race to the Senate is close yet Republicans lead the race to the house during the mid-term elections.

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US CPI Preview: CPI to remain elevated

The risk is that the prints come out higher than expected and high inflation lingers.

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November 8, 2022 05:48 PM
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Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, S&P500

EUR/USD slips ahead of retail sales data & midterms. US government gridlock good for stocks.

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November 8, 2022 09:16 AM

European Open: China’s imports and exports contract, DAX teases highs

Despite China’s imports and exports contracting in US dollar terms, the Hang Seng was a top performer as traders bet on further stimulus for Beijing.

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November 7, 2022 06:19 AM

FOMC short: Dovish statement, hawkish Powell

With the Fed not even thinking or discussing the possibility of pausing, traders may be realizing that lowering inflation may take a lot longer than they had anticipated!

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November 2, 2022 08:58 PM
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JOLTS has markets second guessing the Fed outcome

The JOLTS figure today shows that the US has even more job vacancies than anticipated, which was already high. This should give the Fed confidence in raising rates by 75bps tomorrow.

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November 1, 2022 07:02 PM
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European Open: EUR/USD falls below parity ahead of the US Core PCE report

After just one day above it, the euro is back below parity. And it could face further selling pressure if US inflation comes in hotter than expected today.

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October 28, 2022 06:16 AM