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There’ll be a lot of bond bears with sore heads today

Traders were net-short the 2-year treasure note by a record amount last week. Which means falling yields are likely driven by short-covering by bears with sore heads.

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November 11, 2022 01:01 AM
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What is trickle-down economics and does it work?

Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng have unveiled their economic plan for the UK: and it involves tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy. This is known as trickle-down economics. But what is the theory behind the mini-budget, and does trickle-down economics work?

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September 28, 2022 04:30 PM
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US Housing Prices drop for 3rd consecutive month

Perhaps watching USD/JPY could give a clue as to where mortgage rates may be headed next!

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September 27, 2022 06:12 PM

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Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US

If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.

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July 27, 2022 10:05 PM
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Rate of Return Explained: Definition, Formula, Uses

The rate of return is a formula used to calculate the gain or loss made from a trade or investment over a specific period of time. It expresses the total amount gained or lost as a percentage of the asset’s cost. Learn how to calculate the rate of return and different use cases here.

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July 27, 2022 05:58 PM
Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC

In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.


The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak

The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.

Should traders be worried about the ECB and fragmentation risk?

Rising interest rates and the end of bond buying from the European Central Bank (ECB) have led to concerns over fragmentation risk across the single currency bloc. Read on for an explanation of what fragmentation risk is – and what trading opportunities it may bring.

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June 16, 2022 12:19 PM
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The yen, FX intervention and the BOJ’s yield curve control

The yen has been a key focal point for momentum traders during its sharp depreciation, to the extent it could risk a BOJ intervention or cancellation of their YCC target.

Treasury yields explained: what does the yield curve tell us?

Treasury yields are closely watched as an indicator of economic health, interest rates and inflation. Read our one-page guide to treasury yields, including what they are, what the yield curve is and what it means when the yield curve inverts.


Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.

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CPI Preview: Is inflation close to peaking?

After a surge to 7% YoY for December, CPI is expected to have increase to 7.3% YoY in January.

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February 8, 2022 08:48 PM
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Asian Open Lower yields didn’t help US equities

Bond yields moved lower for a second session, but it wasn’t enough to turn around bearish momentum on Wall Street, despite a positive start to the session.

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January 20, 2022 11:21 PM

European Open: Yields continue higher overnight, futures point lower

It was another day of red for equity traders as upside pressures on yields showed no signs of abating.

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January 19, 2022 07:39 AM

Bonds - the new hot potato? EUR/JPY probes key support

Bond traders continued to offload their holdings and send shimmers across global markets. EUR/USD also broke key support, so now will EUR/JPY follow suit?

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European Open: Bond yields march higher, 1.1386 pivotal for EUR/USD

Bond traders seem to be fully on board with the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric, with the US yield curve continuing its ascent overnight as they offloaded their holdings.

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January 18, 2022 07:04 AM
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Stagflation headlines abound: How likely is it and how can traders prepare?

If we do enter a stagflationary environment, there may be relatively few investments that perform well - see what they are and what to avoid!

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October 14, 2021 05:08 PM

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10 Central Banks – Where they stand towards normalizing policy

With the world beginning to gain control over the coronavirus pandemic, watch for central banks to continue to normalize monetary policy

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September 17, 2021 01:34 PM
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Is USD/JPY finally ready to break out?

If yields continue moving lower over the next few weeks, USD/JPY should move with it

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September 14, 2021 06:08 PM
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USD/JPY at decision point after Suga resignation

USD/JPY is currently trading between tight resistance and support

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September 8, 2021 01:59 PM
Forex trading

Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY

However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move

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August 18, 2021 02:22 PM
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Stocks reverse while yields hammer out a bottom

What is the catalyst that will help stocks to continue to move higher and bonds move lower (yields higher)?

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July 20, 2021 06:21 PM
Federal reserve building

What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained

The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.

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June 17, 2021 06:35 AM