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There’ll be a lot of bond bears with sore heads today
Traders were net-short the 2-year treasure note by a record amount last week. Which means falling yields are likely driven by short-covering by bears with sore heads.
What is trickle-down economics and does it work?
Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng have unveiled their economic plan for the UK: and it involves tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy. This is known as trickle-down economics. But what is the theory behind the mini-budget, and does trickle-down economics work?
US Housing Prices drop for 3rd consecutive month
Perhaps watching USD/JPY could give a clue as to where mortgage rates may be headed next!
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Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US
If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.
Rate of Return Explained: Definition, Formula, Uses
The rate of return is a formula used to calculate the gain or loss made from a trade or investment over a specific period of time. It expresses the total amount gained or lost as a percentage of the asset’s cost. Learn how to calculate the rate of return and different use cases here.
All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC
In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.
The S&P 500 may have bounced, but the backdrop remains bleak
The S&P 500 rallied as a retracement gets underway. But that doesn’t change the fact that the bigger picture remains bleak for the bull camp further out.
Should traders be worried about the ECB and fragmentation risk?
Rising interest rates and the end of bond buying from the European Central Bank (ECB) have led to concerns over fragmentation risk across the single currency bloc. Read on for an explanation of what fragmentation risk is – and what trading opportunities it may bring.
The yen, FX intervention and the BOJ’s yield curve control
The yen has been a key focal point for momentum traders during its sharp depreciation, to the extent it could risk a BOJ intervention or cancellation of their YCC target.
Treasury yields explained: what does the yield curve tell us?
Treasury yields are closely watched as an indicator of economic health, interest rates and inflation. Read our one-page guide to treasury yields, including what they are, what the yield curve is and what it means when the yield curve inverts.
Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?
U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.
CPI Preview: Is inflation close to peaking?
After a surge to 7% YoY for December, CPI is expected to have increase to 7.3% YoY in January.
Asian Open Lower yields didn’t help US equities
Bond yields moved lower for a second session, but it wasn’t enough to turn around bearish momentum on Wall Street, despite a positive start to the session.
European Open: Yields continue higher overnight, futures point lower
It was another day of red for equity traders as upside pressures on yields showed no signs of abating.
Bonds - the new hot potato? EUR/JPY probes key support
Bond traders continued to offload their holdings and send shimmers across global markets. EUR/USD also broke key support, so now will EUR/JPY follow suit?
European Open: Bond yields march higher, 1.1386 pivotal for EUR/USD
Bond traders seem to be fully on board with the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric, with the US yield curve continuing its ascent overnight as they offloaded their holdings.
Stagflation headlines abound: How likely is it and how can traders prepare?
If we do enter a stagflationary environment, there may be relatively few investments that perform well - see what they are and what to avoid!
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10 Central Banks – Where they stand towards normalizing policy
With the world beginning to gain control over the coronavirus pandemic, watch for central banks to continue to normalize monetary policy
Is USD/JPY finally ready to break out?
If yields continue moving lower over the next few weeks, USD/JPY should move with it
USD/JPY at decision point after Suga resignation
USD/JPY is currently trading between tight resistance and support
Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY
However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move
Stocks reverse while yields hammer out a bottom
What is the catalyst that will help stocks to continue to move higher and bonds move lower (yields higher)?
What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained
The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.