Interest rates
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FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!

FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?
While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.

Markets looking for higher Central Bank terminal rates
Major central banks around the world have been hiking rates at an unprecedented pace in order to try and cap inflation, which in some countries is at or near 40-year highs.

How to use the currency carry trade strategy
A carry trade is a trading strategy that involves borrowing a low-yield currency and investing in a high-yielding asset to exploit the interest rate differential. Carry trades are most common in forex trading with traders borrowing the low interest Japanese yen to buy higher interest currencies. Learn what currency pairs work best and how to execute the strategy yourself in our full guide.

CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.

CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.

JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?
It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.

JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?
It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.

Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?
After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?

Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?
After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?

FOMC meeting preview: 100bps unlikely, but longer rate hike path in play
In our view, the possibility of a 100bps rate hike is overblown...but that doesn't mean the Fed won't come off as hawkish.

ECB hawks out in force ahead of Eurozone CPI; EUR/GBP
Hawkish ECB speakers over the last few days, combined with the lack of BOE speakers, have sent EUR/GBP to its highest level since July 6th.

Forex and interest rates: how do rate hikes and cuts impact currencies?
Interest rates are an important driver for forex markets so it’s important that traders understand the effects of hikes and cuts on currencies. Let’s look at how interest rates affect currencies and a popular forex interest rate trading strategy.

Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US
If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.

FOMC recap: Fed delivers 75bps, but Powell throws cold water on hawks
On balance, the Fed chief is coming off as relatively dovish...

FOMC meeting preview: Traders looking for 75bps, Powell’s presser key
If the FOMC does, in fact, opt for a 75bps interest rate hike, Fed Chairman Powell’s accompanying press conference will likely have a bigger market impact than the decision itself...
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US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?
If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...

NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead
The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range

Are SNB being ‘franc’ about a potential hike?
Comments from SNB’s president suggest the central bank might be closer to hiking rates sooner than some expect.

Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year
Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.

Back from the dead? The revival of the FX carry trade
As inflation rises to multi-decade highs, some central banks are once again raising interest rates aggressively, suggesting that the carry trade could come back from the dead in the coming months.

FOMC meeting recap: Was that “Peak Hawkishness” for the Fed?
Traders may look at today’s press conference as marking “peak hawkishness” for the Fed, at least in the short term...

FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key
Of course, with a 50bps move already fully discounted, the Fed’s interest rate decision is unlikely to be a market mover by itself...see what traders will be focused on instead!