Interest rates

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Markets looking for higher Central Bank terminal rates

Major central banks around the world have been hiking rates at an unprecedented pace in order to try and cap inflation, which in some countries is at or near 40-year highs.

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November 9, 2022 09:51 PM
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How to use the currency carry trade strategy

A carry trade is a trading strategy that involves borrowing a low-yield currency and investing in a high-yielding asset to exploit the interest rate differential. Carry trades are most common in forex trading with traders borrowing the low interest Japanese yen to buy higher interest currencies. Learn what currency pairs work best and how to execute the strategy yourself in our full guide.

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October 25, 2022 10:15 AM
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CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month

A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.

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October 13, 2022 03:02 PM

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Research

CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month

A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.

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October 13, 2022 03:02 PM

JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?

It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.

JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?

It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.

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Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?

After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?

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October 5, 2022 09:58 PM
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Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?

After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?

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October 5, 2022 09:58 PM
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FOMC meeting preview: 100bps unlikely, but longer rate hike path in play

In our view, the possibility of a 100bps rate hike is overblown...but that doesn't mean the Fed won't come off as hawkish.

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September 19, 2022 09:25 PM

ECB hawks out in force ahead of Eurozone CPI; EUR/GBP

Hawkish ECB speakers over the last few days, combined with the lack of BOE speakers, have sent EUR/GBP to its highest level since July 6th.

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August 30, 2022 05:50 PM
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Forex and interest rates: how do rate hikes and cuts impact currencies?

Interest rates are an important driver for forex markets so it’s important that traders understand the effects of hikes and cuts on currencies. Let’s look at how interest rates affect currencies and a popular forex interest rate trading strategy.

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Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US

If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.

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July 27, 2022 10:05 PM
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FOMC recap: Fed delivers 75bps, but Powell throws cold water on hawks

On balance, the Fed chief is coming off as relatively dovish...

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FOMC meeting preview: Traders looking for 75bps, Powell’s presser key

If the FOMC does, in fact, opt for a 75bps interest rate hike, Fed Chairman Powell’s accompanying press conference will likely have a bigger market impact than the decision itself...

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July 25, 2022 04:46 PM
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US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?

If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...

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July 14, 2022 07:15 PM
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NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead

The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range

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Are SNB being ‘franc’ about a potential hike?

Comments from SNB’s president suggest the central bank might be closer to hiking rates sooner than some expect.

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May 20, 2022 04:47 AM

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Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year

Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.

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May 13, 2022 06:06 PM
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Back from the dead? The revival of the FX carry trade

As inflation rises to multi-decade highs, some central banks are once again raising interest rates aggressively, suggesting that the carry trade could come back from the dead in the coming months.

FOMC meeting recap: Was that “Peak Hawkishness” for the Fed?

Traders may look at today’s press conference as marking “peak hawkishness” for the Fed, at least in the short term...

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FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key

Of course, with a 50bps move already fully discounted, the Fed’s interest rate decision is unlikely to be a market mover by itself...see what traders will be focused on instead!

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How will the Russia-Ukraine conflict impact inflation?

The Russia-Ukraine crisis is pushing up prices of everything from oil to food and threatens to derail the global economic recovery from the pandemic.

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Stocks that perform well when interest rates rise

When interest rates are rising, there are certain sectors and stocks that perform better than others – such as finance companies, consumer discretionary and gold miners. But when rates are high, this can change. Let’s take a look at the stock market performance when rates rise, and how to manage your positions.

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February 25, 2022 05:30 PM