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Gold, WTI crude oil Q4 outlook

The surge in bond yields finally began to take its toll on gold prices as the end of gold with, with gold falling against basket of currencies alongside the US dollar. And that paints a grim picture for bulls at the beginning of Q4. Yet it has been a very different story for WTI crude oil which has rallied 30% in Q4. But can we really expect a similar performance in Q4?

Gold the most oversold since 2018, EUR/USD hits 2023 low

After the Fed delivered a hawkish bias at its September FOMC meeting, it’s now up to the economic data to justify that stance on the outlook for interest rates. If it can’t, it may be difficult to sustain the upward momentum in the US dollar and bonds.

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Yesterday 07:21 AM

Crude oil: WTI correction a healthy development for longevity of the bullish trend

The pullback in crude oil could be deemed a healthy development, correcting an unsustainable, one-sided trade which left the contract overbought and over-loved.

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Yesterday 02:05 AM

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Gold teetering as bond yields and dollar rip higher

Gold has a reputation of being of an inflation hedge and safe haven in uncertain times but that's not working for it right now.

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September 28, 2023 08:45 AM
White mountain on blue background

Lithium sector breaking down as bond yields burst higher

Global X’s Lithium & Battery ETF, under the ticker code ‘LIT’, is one of the many victims from the recent surge in risk-free rates.

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September 26, 2023 04:27 AM
Finger pointing on market chart data

Volatility trading guide: its causes and the most volatile markets

Markets are always on the move, but the speed and size of price changes is what creates excitement (and risk) for traders. So, let’s take a look at how to trade volatility, and which markets experience the highest levels of volatility.

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September 21, 2023 05:21 PM

Gold should be getting hammered but isn’t - that’s interesting

If gold can’t weaken substantially in these conditions, when will it? And what happens when the tide eventually turns, with the US dollar and bond yields turning lower?

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September 21, 2023 07:01 AM

WTI crude oil finally set to mean revert? Asian Open - 20/09/2023

Whilst WTI crude oil made light work of breaking above $90, it faltered around $95 and left a potential key reversal day below historical highs. And with the potential for the Fed to be more hawkish than money markets are currently pricing in, it could shake the bullish oil tree and trigger a correction against its strong trend.

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September 20, 2023 12:51 AM
Oil extraction

Crude oil: risk-laden week and bullish sentiment pose a threat to fresh longs

A decent pullback in crude oil is not a stretch given how lopsided near-term sentiment and positioning appears to be.

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September 19, 2023 02:02 AM

US dollar, USD/CAD, WTI crude oil analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)

The USD is on the cusp of flipping to net-long exposure among G10 currencies according to data compiled by IMM (International Monetary Market). And despite the resurgence of US dollar strength, oil continues to perform well and market positioning is looking increasingly bullish for the weeks or even months ahead.

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September 18, 2023 04:23 AM
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Lithium sector’s big test as bond yields threaten to break higher

Containing upstream producers through to auto manufacturers such as Tesla, the Global X LIT ETF can be used to track sentiment towards the lithium sector.

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September 13, 2023 07:47 AM
Quarry and various stones

Stimulus and seasonality could power mining sector gains

A trade idea to play what what is traditionally strong period for mining stocks.

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September 12, 2023 04:41 AM

EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)

Whilst AUD/USD has held above key support levels despite a slew of weak data from China, large speculators and asset managers have increased their bearish bets against it. Bears are also making more of a presence against EUR/USD, and large speculators increased their gross-long exposure to JPY futures by ~50% last week.


Gold has looked healthier on the charts

Gold's outlook has turned nasty, at least when priced in US dollars, breaking its uptrend along with the 50-day moving average.

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September 7, 2023 04:10 AM
Market chart showing uptrend

Gold gains as major market risks subside

With the US dollar and bond yields soaring until just over a week ago, it’s remarkable the gold price didn’t fall further during August.

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September 4, 2023 08:09 AM

USD, GBP/USD analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT) – 04/09/2023

It is also worth noting that the 2-year yield printed a bearish engulfing week after a failed attempt to break and hold above 5%. And if yields continue to move lower over the coming weeks, it will likely weigh on the US dollar. Large speculators are slowly loosening their bullish grip on GBP/USD futures, with short exposure rising by 25% last week. Traders are also showing renewed bullish interest in gold and silver.

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Crude oil looking good as fundamentals, technicalsalign

Crude oil looks set to resume its battle with sellers parked around the $84 per barrel level.

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September 1, 2023 03:34 AM

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Gold grinds higher ahead of key inflation reports

Gold facing significant two-way price risk as major inflation reports loom on the horizon.

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August 31, 2023 04:19 AM

Gold: make-or-break week for USD as short-dated yields test fresh highs

A pivotal week for interest rates and the sustainability of the US dollar rally.

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August 29, 2023 02:16 AM

Gold, AUD/USD, Dow Jones: Commitment of traders report (COT) - 28/08/2023

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.


Iron ore rally faces its next big test

Iron ore has been rallying hard but will stimulus speculation end in sorrow?

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August 23, 2023 08:01 AM

Gold Price Analysis: Gold to See 6th Down Day as Real Yields Hit 14-Year Highs?

Gold is threatening to close lower for its 6th straight day, with potential to extend its drop toward $1865 before finding support...


Nasdaq 100 analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT) – 21st August 2023

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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August 21, 2023 03:07 AM