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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Three-peat of hawkish disappointment under the RBA’s new leadership
The question now for AUD/USD and ASX 200 is whether the tone truly reflects what the RBA is thinking, or will we see a repeat of recent months where subsequent commentary has been far more hawkish in nature?
AUD monthly wrap: December 2023
AUD/USD was the strongest performer among the Aussie pairs we track in November. A combination of hawkish RBA alongside bets of Fed cuts in 2024 played nicely with our long bias. What will December bring?
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AUD/USD threatening key level on slow progress in taming underlying inflation pressures
Headline Australian CPI undershot market expectations in October, although progress on taming underlying price pressures was disappointing, helping to boost AUD/USD.
ASX 200: Downside risks build on hawkish RBA, unconvincing price action
The prospect of another rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), a crackdown of speculative forces in iron ore futures markets and failure to clear a stubborn resistance level has Australia’s ASX 200 facing the prospect of renewed downside.
AUD/USD rises as RBA min retain hawkish bias, USD/JPY, USD/CNH slide continues
There was a risk that the RBA’s minutes were more hawkish than their November statement had let on, and this certainly seems to be the case. And hawkish minutes alongside a lower USD/CNH and USD/JPY have helped AUD/USD test a new cycle high today. Can it now gun for 66?
Bond auctions could trump data next week: The Week Ahead
In what seems like a while, the US economic calendar is relatively quiet with no top tier events. But US bond auctions should be on trader’s radars as they provide a look at how strong demand is (or not) for the ultimate US safe-haven asset. And if demand is low, it could send yields higher and shake a few equity bulls out of the tree and generally weigh on risk sentiment. We also have the RBA minutes and a potentially ‘live’ speech for the governor to keep tabs on.
GBP/AUD: Central bank divergence put to the test as risk laden week begins
With plenty of major data and central bank speeches scheduled in the UK and Australia this week, the next few days may prove to be critical for the medium-term trajectory for GBP/AUD heading into 2024.
AUD/USD: Tumbles as RBA rate hike bets slashed, eyes fresh 2023 lows
Tumbling US stock futures and neutral language from RBA Governor Michele Bullock has seen AUD/USD plunge in early Asian trade, continuing the sizeable reversal seen on Wednesday following the release of Australia’s Q3 hot inflation report.
AUD/USD higher, ASX 200 lower as hot inflation bolsters RBA rate hike bets
Australian inflation has come in hot in Q3, seeing the odds for a RBA rate hike in November lift to 60%. The AUD/USD has moved higher while the ASX 200 has reversed earlier gains, turning negative for the session.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: A quick guide on what to watch in today’s Australian inflation report
When you look back through the history books, no other economic data release is more important for the AUD and ASX than Australia’s quarterly consumer price inflation report. Today will be no exception.
AUD/JPY, WTI crude oil: Israel-Hamas conflict, inflation reports to set the tone
Geopolitics, inflation reports and sentiment towards Chinese markets will likely dominate proceedings for AUD/JPY and crude oil this week, putting their respective uptrends to the test during a time when investor risk appetite is particularly weak.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: Australia’s jobs report takes on greater significance for the RBA rate outlook
Australia’s September jobs report is arguably the most important G10 FX data release in the world on Thursday, ensuring there’ll be significant interest among AUD/USD and ASX 200 traders.
AUD/USD: Monthly indicators in China’s ‘data dump’ to dictate direction
The tentative rebound in the AUD/USD faces its next hurdle today with the release of China’s monthly ‘data dump’, including Q3 GDP.
AUD/USD: Pops higher on RBA minutes scattered with hawkish tinges
The hawkish tone of the RBA’s October monetary policy minutes has caught markets by surprise, seeing the AUD pop higher against the USD and crosses.