FOREX.com by StoneX logo

How Is Primark Owner AB Foods Faring in Lock Down

Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta

Share this:

How Is Primark Owner AB Foods Faring in Lock Down?
AB Foods has pulled its interim dividend as it reported a fall in H1 profits owing to the ongoing covid-19 crisis. 
Prior to the coronvirus outbreak, the Primark part of the business had been performing well, with an improving market share in the UK and solid performance in other parts of Europe. 

Primark represents 65% of AB Foods’ operating profit. All 376 stores were closed around the world as from 22nd March. Given that the store infamously has no online offering this ultimately means that a gapping hole has been left in the overall revenue picture amid lock down.

The loss
Primark usually brings in £650 million a month, this revenue has literally evaporated as the stores closed their doors and in today’s climate it is impossible to gauge when those doors may reopen again. Some European stores could open soon. However, even when they do start welcoming customers again, strict social distancing rules are likely to continue for the foreseeable future meaning that revenue and profits from Primark are likely to be significantly reduced for some time.

The cost 
Taking into account the governments furlough scheme and the rates relief programme the cost of Primark stores standing idle is around £100 million per month. Statutory profits were also hit by a £284 million charge from Primark inventory as the inbound supply chains continued for a few weeks with stock in transit.

The grocery business
On the other side of the business, the Grocery business, which contributes around 28% to profits, has been holding up well. The area has been benefiting from panic buying and stock piling seen in many countries ahead of the covid-19 lock down. The sugar component is less important to the business, making up just 2% of profits.


Unsurprising move
Liquidity isn’t expected to be a problem for the group which has £1.5 billion on 21st April, thanks to cash, a fully drawn bank facility and access to the British governments covid-19 corporate financing scheme. Even so the board has decided to hold fir on the interim dividend, hardly a surprising move in the circumstances.

Whilst many retails on the high street may struggle to survive these unprecedented, tough economic times, Primark is unlikely to be a retailing casualty from coronavirus. Whilst Primark will remain a fixture on the UK high street, it will be a very long slow recovery for Primark and the wider retail sector as a whole.

Levels to watch
The share price has dropped 30% since the start of the year, faring worse than the FTSE which is down 24%. 
AB Foods continues its recovery from the March 19th low, however after losing 6.6% in trading today, the price is getting dangerously close to the ascending trend line support. A break below 1830p (trend line) could see more bears jump in.
Immediate support can be seen at 1843p (today’s low) prior to 1830p and 1677p.
Resistance can be seen at 2050p (high 17th April) and 2141p (high 10th March)

AB Foods has pulled its interim dividend as it reported a fall in H1 profits owing to the ongoing covid-19 crisis. 
Prior to the coronvirus outbreak, the Primark part of the business had been performing well, with an improving market share in the UK and solid performance in other parts of Europe. 

Primark represents 65% of AB Foods’ operating profit. All 376 stores were closed around the world as from 22nd March. Given that the store infamously has no online offering this ultimately means that a gapping hole has been left in the overall revenue picture amid lock down.

The loss
Primark usually brings in £650 million a month, this revenue has literally evaporated as the stores closed their doors and in today’s climate it is impossible to gauge when those doors may reopen again. Some European stores could open soon. However, even when they do start welcoming customers again, strict social distancing rules are likely to continue for the foreseeable future meaning that revenue and profits from Primark are likely to be significantly reduced for some time.

The cost 
Taking into account the governments furlough scheme and the rates relief programme the cost of Primark stores standing idle is around £100 million per month. Statutory profits were also hit by a £284 million charge from Primark inventory as the inbound supply chains continued for a few weeks with stock in transit.

The grocery business
On the other side of the business, the Grocery business, which contributes around 28% to profits, has been holding up well. The area has been benefiting from panic buying and stock piling seen in many countries ahead of the covid-19 lock down. The sugar component is less important to the business, making up just 2% of profits.


Unsurprising move
Liquidity isn’t expected to be a problem for the group which has £1.5 billion on 21st April, thanks to cash, a fully drawn bank facility and access to the British governments covid-19 corporate financing scheme. Even so the board has decided to hold fir on the interim dividend, hardly a surprising move in the circumstances.

Whilst many retails on the high street may struggle to survive these unprecedented, tough economic times, Primark is unlikely to be a retailing casualty from coronavirus. Whilst Primark will remain a fixture on the UK high street, it will be a very long slow recovery for Primark and the wider retail sector as a whole.

Levels to watch
The share price has dropped 30% since the start of the year, faring worse than the FTSE which is down 24%. 
AB Foods continues its recovery from the March 19th low, however after losing 6.6% in trading today, the price is getting dangerously close to the ascending trend line support. A break below 1830p (trend line) could see more bears jump in.
Immediate support can be seen at 1843p (today’s low) prior to 1830p and 1677p.
Resistance can be seen at 2050p (high 17th April) and 2141p (high 10th March)

Related tags:

Open an account in minutes

Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution, and enjoy tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 0.3 pts on indices.

Economic calendar

Web Trader platform

Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Related articles

This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.

In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.

Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.

It's your world. Trade it.