FOREX.com by StoneX logo

US Dollar Forecast: USD/CHF Defends Post-Fed Rally

USD/CHF seems to be defending the rally following the Federal Reserve interest rate decision as it trades near the weekly high (0.9095).

David Song
David Song

Share this:

US Dollar Forecast: USD/CHF Defends Post-Fed Rally

US Dollar Outlook: USD/CHF

USD/CHF seems to be defending the rally following the Federal Reserve interest rate decision as it trades near the weekly high (0.9095).

US Dollar Forecast: USD/CHF Defends Post-Fed Rally

USD/CHF stages a three-day rally after gut checking the 50-Day SMA (0.8984) at the start of the week, and the exchange rate may retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.9201) should it continue to track the positive slope in the moving average.

Join David Song for the Weekly Fundamental Market Outlook webinar.

David provides a market overview and takes questions in real-time. Register Here

 

With that said, USD/CHF may stage further attempt to test the 2024 high (0.9225), but the exchange rate may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it struggles to extend the recent series of higher highs and lows.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily

USDCHF Daily Chart 01302025

Chart Prepared by David Song, Senior Strategist; USD/CHF Price on TradingView

  • USD/CHF extends the rebound from the weekly low (0.8966) to stage a three-day rally, with a breach above 0.9180 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) bringing the monthly high (0.9201) on the radar.
  • Next area interest comes in around the 2024 high (0.9225), but USD/CHF may continue to threaten the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.8984) as it struggles to extend the recent series of higher highs and lows.
  • Lack of momentum to hold above the 0.9030 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 0.9040 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push USD/CHF back towards the weekly low (0.8966), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.8880 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8910 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).

Additional Market Outlooks

Gold Price Rallies to Fresh Record High amid Limited Response to Fed

EUR/USD Struggles Ahead of ECB as Fed Keeps US Interest Rate on Hold

USD/CAD Unfazed by BoC Rate-Cut Ahead of Fed Decision

AUD/USD Susceptible to Negative Slope in 50-Day SMA

--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist

Follow on Twitter at @DavidJSong

Get our guide to central banks and interest rates in 2025

Get our guide to central banks and interest rates in 2025

Open an account in minutes

Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution, and enjoy tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 0.3 pts on indices.

Economic calendar

Web Trader platform

Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Related articles

Gold forecast: Rising yields become too hot for gold, but the outlook is far from bearish

Gold and silver prices took a plunge today, with the former down 3% and the latter falling some 5% by mid European session, before bouncing off their lows. The losses come after the metals remained largely supported until last week, despite the big dollar rally and surging bond yields as we have seen in recent weeks. But it simply got too much, and the metals succumbed to pressure today.

AUD/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week | September 28, 2026

The week has started with stocks, gold, silver and bitcoin all falling, as crude oil rebounded and bond yields pushed further higher. Trump refusing to agree to Tehran’s proposal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz has left the markets disappointed. Still, reports that mediators are expected to hold talks with the two sides on an amended version of the 7-day proposal that Iran presented, keeps hopes alive that we may see some progress.

This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.

In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.

Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.

It's your world. Trade it.