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S&P 500 forecast: A closer look at ‘Santa’s rally’
Santa’s rally refers to the tendency for equity markets to rally into the end of the year. Today we take a closer look at this phenomenon on the S&P 500.
Shein IPO: Everything you need to know about Shein
Chinese retailer Shein has privately filed for an IPO after slating plans to go public in 2022. Take a look at everything we know about the fast-fashion brand.
US Index Technical Analysis: Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Reverse off Multi-Month Highs
“No news is good news” as they say, and if US indices continue to consolidate around current levels, we could be looking at a situation where “no price action is good price action.”
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FTSE and crude oil analysis: Will rebound in oil finally lift UK index?
Can rebounding oil prices fuel rally in energy stocks like BP and Shell? FTSE technical analysis hints at potential recovery for UK index. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil rises above 200-day average ahead of OPEC meeting.
FTSE analysis: Time for UK to join global rally?
The ongoing stock market rally continues. With the US Thanksgiving holiday keeping trading on the quieter side today, the European markets edged higher. The DAX has now completely made back the entire losses it suffered between September and October. Other mainland European indices have similarly made strong gains, along with Wall Street. But frustratingly for the UK market, the FTSE has not shown much desire to go higher.
Nasdaq 100: Macro takes the wheel as Nvidia clears high earnings hurdle
With near-term earnings risk now accounted for among the ‘magnificent seven’, it means macroeconomic and bond market movements will likely dictate how the Nasdaq 100 closes out 2023.
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: NDX holds at YTD highs ahead of Nvidia Earnings
The Nasdaq 100 is at year-to-date highs and Nvidia is at record highs ahead of earnings this afternoon...
S&P 500 forecast: Forward testing the S&P 500 around Thanksgiving
I have always had an inkling that US equity markets tend to perform well heading into Thanksgiving. So today, I put that theory to the test.
S&P technical analysis: Bears back in town or temporary respite?
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 both seem somewhat overbought following a rapid three-week surge. Wednesday's price action has raised the possibility of a short-term pullback. Despite this, it's essential to differentiate any potential short-term weakness from a bearish reversal, unless price action on the charts or a strong pushback from the Federal Reserve indicate otherwise.
US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 All Test Key Resistance
The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are all testing key resistance levels and could pull back over the next couple days...
FTSE 100, DAX analysis: UK lags EU and US stock market recovery
After hitting a new all-time high in February, the FTSE has struggled to find any sustainable support, hurt by concerns over China, UK’s struggling economy and high interest rates across the world. But we have had some positive data out of China, the UK and US this week, which may mean the worst days are behind us.
Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks extend rally on signs Fed winning inflation battle
We are now in mid-November and US stock markets are enjoying one of their best phases this year, all thanks to optimism that interest rates will start to come down in the not-too-distant future now that inflation is on a downward trajectory. The markets do appear a little overbought though after a sharp three-week rally, especially the tech-heavy Nasdaq, so there is a risk of a short-term pullback.
AUD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Weaker Japanese yen adds to near-term upside risk
Whether it’s any major FX pair against the yen or the Nikkei 225, the last of least resistance right now seems to be higher with the BOJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance.
S&P 500 hints at swing high following Powell’s hawkish speech: The Week Ahead
Hawkish comments from Jerome Powell with the threat of further hikes snapped Wall Street’s 8-day wining streak, and hints at a swing high on the S&P 500 heading into the weekend. And that puts traders on high alert for next week’s inflation report, not to mention the threat of a government shutdown if the debt ceiling is not raised by Friday.
S&P 500 Analysis: Studying the Struggling VIX Streak and Stocks
Previous 8-day declining streaks in the VIX have been bullish for the S&P 500, but patience is warranted.
Nasdaq 100, WTI crude oil: Divergence beckons as lead economic indicators roll over
It feels like we’ve reached the part of the economic cycle where the pain sets in. For the Nasdaq and crude oil, such a scenario points to the likelihood of divergent performance over the medium-term.
Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks running out of bullish catalysts after big rally
The optimism we saw last week was all based on signs of peak interest rates in the US. To give you an idea of what kind of a week it was, the Dow enjoyed its biggest weekly gain since October 2022, while the S&P and Nasdaq had their best weeks since November 2022. While those gains are impressive, so far, we haven’t seen any follow through.
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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Don’t be so quick to call it a dovish RBA hike
Traders believe the RBA is one-and done when it comes to the restart of its tightening cycle, jumping to the conclusion the 25 basis point rate hike to 4.35% will likely be the last. AUD/USD fell while the ASX 200 rallied.
China A50, USD/CNH: Prime reversal candidates should US economic exceptionalism falter
It’s been a rough year for Chinese markets with the A50 share index and CNH down sharply as hopes for booming economic activity coming out of the pandemic failed to materialise.
USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Narrowing yield differentials with the US amplify downside risks
If you believe the Fed is done hiking rates and will be forced to ease policy aggressively next year, it’s hard to be bullish USD/JPY or the Nikkei 225 given the role yield differentials and FX fluctuations have played in underpinning both this year.
US dollar analysis: NFP cements peak Fed rates narrative
Today’s publication of US jobs report has further cemented expectations that the Fed has reach peaked interest rates. Bond yields and the dollar have sold off as a result, with indices and gold moving higher.
Nasdaq 100 faces reversal risk if dovish rates narrative unravels
Markets have been loosening financial conditions aggressively ever since the Fed meeting, creating reversal risks should incoming data challenge the dovish narrative. Nasdaq 100 is one market that's run very hard very fast.
S&P 500 analysis: Stocks extend post-FOMC gains ahead of AAPL, NFP
Global stock indices continued to make strong gains, extending recovery from the previous session. Bets that the Fed is done with rate hike is what’s driving markets higher, while mixed technology earnings have reduced fears about overstretch valuations in the sector.