AU Consumer and Business Confidence Slide, Building the Case for an RBA Pause
Westpac consumer confidence hits a four-year low as NAB business sentiment weakens, strengthening the case for the RBA to pause until February.
Australia
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RBA Hikes to 4.85%, but Split Vote and Softer Guidance Hit AUD/USD
The RBA hikes rates to 4.85%, but a split vote and softer forward guidance weigh on AUD/USD despite sharply higher inflation forecasts.
AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: RBA Hike, US Midterms and NFP Collide
AUD/USD faces a pivotal week as an expected RBA hike, US midterm elections and nonfarm payrolls test the Australian dollar's recovery.
Hot CPI Reinforces RBA Hike Bets, Though Cracks Remain in the Economy
Australia's hot Q3 CPI strengthens RBA November hike expectations, but weaker employment and sentiment complicate the outlook for 2027.
AUD/USD Analysis: Australian Dollar Holds Steady Ahead of Inflation Data and the Fed
As the trading week progresses, a cautious tone is becoming increasingly evident around the Australian dollar. This can be observed in the recent performance of AUD/USD, where price action has remained largely unchanged over the last three trading sessions, recording a move of barely 0.1%. This behavior highlights a clear lack of direction within the market.
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Screams Sentiment Extreme Into Fed, CPI
AUD/USD rebounds despite record bearish futures positioning, with Australian Q3 CPI and the Fed meeting threatening to trigger another short squeeze.
AUD/USD Bears Denied a Big, Bearish Breakout via Hawkish RBA, Weak USD
AUD/USD defies a potential head-and-shoulders breakdown as RBA rate hike bets surge and a weaker US dollar fuels an Australian dollar rally.
AUD/USD: Are Record Short Bets a Breakout Signal or Sentiment Extreme?
Record AUD/USD futures shorts raise the risk of a bearish breakout, but stretched positioning and bullish divergences suggest bears should remain cautious.
Australian Jobs Report Hammers Another Nail into the Coffin for RBA Hikes
Australian jobs fell by 39.3k as unemployment held at 4.7%, sending the Aussie lower and prompting traders to scale back expectations for further RBA hikes.
AUD/USD and AUD/JPY Tease Swing Highs Heading into Jobs Report
AUD/USD and AUD/JPY show signs of potential swing highs as bearish reversal candles emerge ahead of Australia's employment report.
AUD/USD Stuck Below 70c Amid Hawkish RBA, Weak Business Sentiment
AUD/USD remains below 70c as hawkish RBA minutes contrast with weaker business confidence. Australian jobs data and US CPI are the next catalysts.
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Bears to Face Near-Term Reprieve?
AUD/USD enters the week after four straight declines, but softer Fed expectations, stretched positioning and support could slow the selloff.
AUD/USD Analysis: What's Next for the Australian Dollar After the RBA Decision?
Recent trading sessions have reflected a more neutral tone around the Australian dollar. This can be seen in AUD/USD price action, which has posted moves of roughly 0.2% over the last two sessions without establishing a clear direction. Much of this lack of momentum is linked to expectations surrounding the next policy moves from both the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Reserve.
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