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FTSE 100 forecast: UK stocks down but trend remains strong

The FTSE 100 fell relatively sharply today, down nearly 1%, after climbing to repeated all-time highs. Today however the index fell back as investors digest a number of earnings results. But the downside could prove to be short-lived. Supported by a weaker pound and expectations that the Bank of England will cut rates in March, and potentially again in June, investors have been piling into UK stocks lately.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

FTSE 100 and GBP/USD forecast: UK data gives BoE March cut a further boost

The FTSE 100 edged higher to close in on last week’s record, as the pound weakened following the release of UK wages and Jobs data that puts a March rate cut firmly on the table, barring any surprises in tomorrow’s inflation report. Unless we see a sharp turnaround in data, I would be expecting another rate cut in June, and possibly more in the summer if inflation risks ease. This should keep the longer term FTSE 100 forecast firmly supported and keep a lid on sterling.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

FTSE 100 forecast - Indices weekend outlook | February 16, 2026

With the US out on Monday for Presidents’ Day and China celebrating Spring Festival all week, it makes sense to focus on European markets to start the week off. So the FTSE 100 forecast is in focus for this week’s weekend indices outlook. We have plenty of UK, European and US earnings to look forward to as the week progresses, while key data from the UK and US will make rate cut expectations a key talking point on both sides of the pond.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

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