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S&P 500 forecast :SPX recovers from initial post NFP falls

US stocks recover from initial post-NFP losses. The closely watched US jobs report saw 199k jobs added in November, up from 150k. Meanwhile, unemployment fell to 3.7%, and wages grew at 0.4%, faster than expected. The data saw investors rein in Fed rate cut bets.

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December 8, 2023 09:57 AM
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Nasdaq 100 ready to retrace? AUD/NZD approaches a technical juncture

We noted the tendency for US indices to begin a retracement on December 7th according to its seasonality, so it is interesting to note the 2-day bearish reversal on the Nasdaq on Wednesday. AUD/NZD is also on the watchlist for a potential long as it approaches a key area of support.

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December 6, 2023 05:14 PM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks rise as weaker jobs data supports a dovish pivot

US stocks are heading higher after US ADP payrolls came in below expectations at 103k in November from 113k. The data comes after weaker than expected JOLTS jobs openings and supports the view that the Federal Reserve could look to cut interest rates early next year. Attention now turns to US non-farm payrolls and next week's FOMC meeting.

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December 6, 2023 08:56 AM

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Nasdaq 100 forecast :Stocks slip for a second day with jobs data in focus

Stocks are heading for a second day of losses as investors look ahead to data releases ahead of Friday's key non-farm payroll and next week's FOMC meeting. Attention is on US ISM services PMI which is expected to rise and JOLTS job openings which are forecast to show a slight decline to 9.3 million. Stronger than expected data could see the market push back on Fed rate cut expectations, pulling stocks lower.

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December 5, 2023 09:02 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks look cautiously to Fed Chair Powell's appearance

US stocks are set for a quiet open as investors look cautiously ahead to an appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later today. His comments will come as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation cooled to 3.5% YoY in October and as the market wraps up a month of impressive gains. Optimism that the Fed could start to cut rates next year lifted the Nasdaq 100 11% this month, its best monthly gain since mid-2022.

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December 1, 2023 09:15 AM
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US Index Technical Analysis: Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Reverse off Multi-Month Highs

“No news is good news” as they say, and if US indices continue to consolidate around current levels, we could be looking at a situation where “no price action is good price action.”

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Nasdaq 100 rises on rate cut optimism

US stocks are rising in risk on trade after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised expectations that the Fed was done hiking interest rates and is looking at when to start cutting rates. The market is now pricing in a 40% probability of a 25 basis point hike in March. Attention is shifting to tomorrow's inflation data for further clues over the path for rates.

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November 29, 2023 08:59 AM

EUR/USD looks set to mean revert, Nasdaq to rally into Thanksgiving? European open

Has the rally on EUR/USD gone too far, too soon? Whilst it shows the potential for further gains, a pullback would not come as too much of a surprise. And with the Nasdaq rising ~80% of the Wednesday's ahead of Thanksgiving, we feel inclined to seek intraday bullish setups today.

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November 21, 2023 11:58 PM
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Nasdaq 100: Macro takes the wheel as Nvidia clears high earnings hurdle

With near-term earnings risk now accounted for among the ‘magnificent seven’, it means macroeconomic and bond market movements will likely dictate how the Nasdaq 100 closes out 2023.

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November 21, 2023 06:24 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Analysis: NDX holds at YTD highs ahead of Nvidia Earnings

The Nasdaq 100 is at year-to-date highs and Nvidia is at record highs ahead of earnings this afternoon...

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S&P technical analysis: Bears back in town or temporary respite?

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 both seem somewhat overbought following a rapid three-week surge. Wednesday's price action has raised the possibility of a short-term pullback. Despite this, it's essential to differentiate any potential short-term weakness from a bearish reversal, unless price action on the charts or a strong pushback from the Federal Reserve indicate otherwise.


Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks extend rally on signs Fed winning inflation battle

We are now in mid-November and US stock markets are enjoying one of their best phases this year, all thanks to optimism that interest rates will start to come down in the not-too-distant future now that inflation is on a downward trajectory. The markets do appear a little overbought though after a sharp three-week rally, especially the tech-heavy Nasdaq, so there is a risk of a short-term pullback.

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November 15, 2023 01:21 PM
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Nasdaq 100, WTI crude oil: Divergence beckons as lead economic indicators roll over

It feels like we’ve reached the part of the economic cycle where the pain sets in. For the Nasdaq and crude oil, such a scenario points to the likelihood of divergent performance over the medium-term.

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November 7, 2023 07:36 PM
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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks running out of bullish catalysts after big rally

The optimism we saw last week was all based on signs of peak interest rates in the US. To give you an idea of what kind of a week it was, the Dow enjoyed its biggest weekly gain since October 2022, while the S&P and Nasdaq had their best weeks since November 2022. While those gains are impressive, so far, we haven’t seen any follow through.

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November 7, 2023 06:40 AM
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US dollar analysis: NFP cements peak Fed rates narrative

Today’s publication of US jobs report has further cemented expectations that the Fed has reach peaked interest rates. Bond yields and the dollar have sold off as a result, with indices and gold moving higher.


Nasdaq 100 faces reversal risk if dovish rates narrative unravels

Markets have been loosening financial conditions aggressively ever since the Fed meeting, creating reversal risks should incoming data challenge the dovish narrative. Nasdaq 100 is one market that's run very hard very fast.

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November 2, 2023 11:23 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :Stocks rise after AMZN pleases, inflation cools

U.S. futures hold onto gains after inflation data, which did little to change bets on the Federal Reserve pause next week. US core PCE cooled to 3.7% YoY from 3.8% in August. Meanwhile, personal consumption rose 0.7% up from 0.4% in a sign that Americans keep spending. The Nasdaq is leading the charge higher after Amazon results pleased the market, beating on earnings and profits after disappointment from Alphabet and Meta earlier in the week.

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October 27, 2023 09:11 AM

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EUR/USD falls ahead of ECB, Nasdaq ponders make-or-break moment: European open

We enter today’s European session quite unsure of how this could play out. Several key markets are at our around key levels, and that usually means we’re a few ticks away from either all out carnage or a reversal of fortunes. Can the Nasdaq cling onto support? And will the ECB drive EUR/USD lower?

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October 26, 2023 12:43 AM

WTI crude oil prices defy the bullish consensus

The 4-month winning streak on oil prices is on track to be snapped, with October having erased all of September’s gains. And this flies in the face of current news flows, of the potential for the Middle East conflict to escalate and send oil prices higher (alongside food, energy and inflation expectations).


Nasdaq 100: The fine line between bullish and bearish

If we take a step back to admire the view, the Nasdaq 100 appears defiantly bullish with the clout of net-long asset managers fully behind it. Yet with so many headline risks, earnings season, and Fed members speaking this week, it could struggle to break key resistance nearby if geopolitical risks intensify amid calls of 'higher for longer' interest rates.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Stocks rise cautiously with Middle East & earnings in focus

US stocks are pointing to a mildly higher start after losses on Friday, as the conflict in Israel - Hamas conflict remains in focus. The market mood is still cautious amid concerns that the conflict could escalate further drawing in more Middle Eastern countries, particularly Iran or other oil-rick nations. Earnings season will also ramp up this week with Bank of America and Goldman Sachs due to report tomorrow after encouraging numbers from JP Morgan and Wells Fargo on Friday.

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October 16, 2023 08:52 AM

What are the most volatile stocks in 2023?

The most volatile stocks can be prized among day traders and others – offering lots of opportunity as well as risk. So, what are the most volatile stocks in 2023?

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October 16, 2023 06:06 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :Stocks muted after hotter than expected inflation data

US stocks are heading for a muted open after US CPI was hotter than expected, but yesterday's FOMC minutes showed that policymakers would adopt a cautious approach when deciding whether to raise rates further (and this was before treasury yields shot higher). Earnings pick up with Delta Airlines flying higher and Dominos disappointing ahead of the official start to earnings season tomorrow.

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October 12, 2023 09:31 AM