Forex Market News

Traders and economists expect the NFP report to show that the US created 185K net new jobs, with average hourly earnings rising 0.3% m/m (4.0% y/y) and the U3 unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 3.9%.

The GBP/USD is poised for a significant challenge in the upcoming days, spanning the end of this week and much of the next. Anticipation surrounds key data releases from both the UK and the US, with the US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday and CPI data on the horizon. Moreover, the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are set to announce their respective interest rate decisions next week.

This morning saw some big moves in USD/JPY and all other yen crosses. While these yen pairs all managed to bounce off their worst levels by mid-morning London session, they remained under intense pressure. The yen rally comes after BoJ Governor Ueda met Japanese Prime Minister Kishida earlier in the day, with investors anticipating a policy shift in Japan in the not-too-distant future.

We noted the tendency for US indices to begin a retracement on December 7th according to its seasonality, so it is interesting to note the 2-day bearish reversal on the Nasdaq on Wednesday. AUD/NZD is also on the watchlist for a potential long as it approaches a key area of support.

The EUR/USD faces a key test in the next week and a half. We will have lots of key data and rate decisions from both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank to come during this period. Ahead of these big events, the EUR/USD was down for the second consecutive week, eating into the impressive gains made last month. But will it bottom around the 1.0700-1.0750 key support area?

December tends to generate negative returns in December more than any other month, according to its seasonality. Today we take a closer look.

USD/JPY bulls are defending support in the 147.00 area, but the pair is vulnerable to a big breakdown from here...

When yen bulls increase their long exposure by 40% in a week, it is probably worth noting. Especially when large speculators had pushed net-short exposure to a 6-year high the week prior. Every turning point must start somewhere, and I continue to suspect this turning point already has.

EUR/USD outlook supported by weakening US dollar, which will be put under the spotlight by GDP and core PCE inflation data this week. Weaker Eurozone inflation data could paradoxically lift EUR/USD to 1.10 as technical analysis shows path of least resistance remains to the upside.

GBP/USD has continued to take advantage of a weaker US dollar and rise to an 11-week high. And with a high level of volume activity overhead, we see the potential for a move to 1.27.

A sharp reversal on USD/JPY last week brings a potential break above 150 in to focus, assuming the US dollar can find a bid and USD/CNH continues to hold above its 200-day MA. Meanwhile, crude oil has handed back all of its 2023 gains and it is a very fine line before the bias for a move to $80 becomes invalidated.

GBP/USD outlook: Next week US data will include GDP and PCE inflation, as pound finds support with UK services returning to growth. GBP/USD technical analysis point higher.

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week's edition, we will discuss the US dollar, EUR/USD and NZD/USD ahead of next week's key macro events.

The UK services was back in growth territory to appease the GBP traders and there was no Turkey for US dollar bulls, with the Greenback fading after Wednesday’s recovery. GBP/USD technical analysis suggests path of least resistance remains to the upside.

What does the OPEC+ delaying meeting means for oil prices? And GBP/USD is in focus as pound drops after autumn statement. But was that because of the overall recovery in US dollar, following the release of mostly stronger data?