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FX Brief Oils OPECDriven Rally Fades RBA on Tap

See a summary of the top FX themes and trends from today's US session!

Matt Weller
Matt Weller

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FX Brief: Oil’s OPEC-Driven Rally Fades, RBA on Tap

  • The US dollar was the strongest major currency on the day, helped along by a US-China trade war “truce” and better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI figures. Safe haven demand amid the ongoing protests in Hong Kong also played a role in boosting the buck today.
  • The Swiss franc was the weakest major currency today, falling by more than 1% against the greenback.
  • Oil (WTI) hit a five-week high above $60 on news of a nine-month extension to output cuts before fading to close near $59, up just 1% on the day.
  • AUD/JPY may be seeing bullish exhaustion ahead of the RBA meeting in tomorrow’s Asian session, where most analysts are expecting an interest rate cut.


  • The US dollar was the strongest major currency on the day, helped along by a US-China trade war “truce” and better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI figures. Safe haven demand amid the ongoing protests in Hong Kong also played a role in boosting the buck today.
  • The Swiss franc was the weakest major currency today, falling by more than 1% against the greenback.
  • Oil (WTI) hit a five-week high above $60 on news of a nine-month extension to output cuts before fading to close near $59, up just 1% on the day.
  • AUD/JPY may be seeing bullish exhaustion ahead of the RBA meeting in tomorrow’s Asian session, where most analysts are expecting an interest rate cut.

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USD/JPY forecast: US dollar strengths amid hawkish Fed despite recent oil weakness

The US dollar has extended its gains this morning, even if oil prices finished lower for the fifth consecutive day yesterday. Oil prices have bounced back in this first half of today’s session, causing a bit of pressure on currencies that rely on energy imports such as the euro, pound, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen. But it was the dollar that was exerting the most pressure, amid hawkish FedSpeak. Meanwhile, European indices and precious metals were also under a bit of pressure amid the strength of the dollar.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

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