Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Breakdown Threatens Deeper Correction
AUD/USD remains under pressure after breaking key trend support, with the latest decline putting the focus on the next major downside pivot.
Share this:
Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Australian dollar technical analysis shows a third weekly drop after a Fibonacci resistance stall and a Fed-driven break of the June uptrend. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, walks through the Australian dollar across the weekly, daily and four-hour charts. The Federal Reserve decision fueled the drop that broke the AUD/USD uptrend in place since June, while daily RSI momentum sits at its lowest level since July. The video maps the Fibonacci confluence behind the reversal and the 200-day moving average. Event risk comes from the Australian employment report and trade talks on tariffs, rare earths and AI.
This content was created by an affiliate of FOREX.com and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of Forex.com, StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by FOREX.com.
Key AUD/USD Economic Data Releases
Active Short-term Technical Charts
- British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Selloff Breaks June Uptrend
- Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Six-Day Rally Challenges Pivotal Resistance
- Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Reversal Tests Key Uptrend Support
- Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Bulls Fight to Stabilize at Pivotal Support
- Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Breakdown Faces Major Test Ahead of Fed, BoJ
- US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Selloff Accelerates Toward August Lows Ahead of NFP
- Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Breakout Puts Yearly Highs Back in Play
--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist
Follow Michael on X @MBForex
Latest market news
The complete CFD trading experience
Award-winning platforms, competitive spreads, low commissions and dedicated support.
We live and breathe the markets and are dedicated to helping traders realise their ambitions as we continue to set the industry bar.
Economic calendar
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.
Related articles
USD/JPY Q4 2026 Outlook: Hawkish Fed Pricing Clashes With Intervention Risk
The year-end tug-of-war is clear: hawkish Fed pricing supports USD/JPY, while intervention risk limits the upside.
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY 4% Rally Challenges Post-Intervention Downtrend 9 24 2026
USD/JPY momentum has shifted sharply higher, putting a major resistance confluence in focus as U.S. and Japanese event risk builds.
Oil Quietly Hands the Fed a Reason to Stay Hawkish
Oil prices and the U.S. dollar are both on the front foot as elevated energy costs feed Fed warnings that inflation may prove sticky.
StoneX Europe Ltd may make third party material available on this website which may contain information included but not limited to the conditions of financial markets. The material is for information purposes only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or investment recommendation and/or an investment research and/or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the client following an assessment by him/her of their situation.
StoneX Europe Ltd makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. We are not under any obligation to update any such material. Any opinion made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinion of StoneX Europe Ltd.