
Canadian Dollar Slides as Soft CPI and Trump Tariffs Lift USD/CAD
The Canadian dollar fell after soft inflation, fresh US tariff threats and easing Middle East tensions lifted USD/CAD towards the 2025 high.
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The Canadian dollar fell after soft inflation, fresh US tariff threats and easing Middle East tensions lifted USD/CAD towards the 2025 high.

JPY crosses diverge as USD/JPY bulls eye 149 ahead of US CPI, while CAD/JPY and CHF/JPY signal potential bearish continuation.

AUD/JPY and CAD/JPY test support levels while ASX 200 eyes a bullish breakout. Key levels and trade setups outlined in this week’s technical review.

USD/JPY and CAD/JPY show signs of weakness as safe-haven flows boost the Japanese yen. Symmetrical triangle and reversal patterns signal key levels.
The Canadian Dollar remains a focal point in tariff talks, and USD/CAD has a bull pennant formation while CAD/JPY has shown recovery potential and EUR/CAD a pullback following a strong breakout.

The CAD/JPY has been printing bullish price action ever since the head and shoulders reversal pattern failed towards the end of March and bears were trapped.

As a result of the dovish policy statement, the Canadian dollar slumped.

The Bank of Canada is going to make a decision on whether to follow the US Federal Reserve and hike interest rates by 25 basis points when it concludes its meeting later on today.

Volatility has not been at these elevated levels for prolonged periods in a while. FX traders will be curious to find out whether the stock market sell-off will gather pace, as this could keep the safe-haven Japanese yen bid, potentially meaning bearish USD/JPY, especially in light of last week’s cautious assessment of the US economy by two Federal Reserve members.

One interesting yen pair to watch this week could actually be the CAD/JPY, due to the Bank of Canada’s rate decision tomorrow.

Although we had three central bank meetings in Europe today, the biggest move in the FX markets was triggered by a speech from the Bank of Canada’s Governor this afternoon which sent the Canadian dollar surging higher.

The new week started slowly this morning as government bond selling took a breather. Consequently, stocks bounced back at the open which resulted in further weakness for perceived safe-haven gold and silver.

The Canadian dollar has outperformed in recent weeks. That’s despite ongoing weakness in crude oil, which is Canada’s main export commodity. So, what’s driving the CAD higher? Expectation about tighter monetary conditions in Canada, after the Bank of Canada delivered a strong hint a couple of week about raising interest rates. Those expectations could be revised however in the event crude oil falls furthers and stays weak, or if incoming data deteriorates once again.
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