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S&P 500 forecast :SPX recovers from initial post NFP falls

US stocks recover from initial post-NFP losses. The closely watched US jobs report saw 199k jobs added in November, up from 150k. Meanwhile, unemployment fell to 3.7%, and wages grew at 0.4%, faster than expected. The data saw investors rein in Fed rate cut bets.

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December 8, 2023 09:57 AM
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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD trades at a 3-week low on rate cut bets. Oil steadies after yesterday's steep selloff, China data could limit gains.

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December 7, 2023 03:22 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks rise as weaker jobs data supports a dovish pivot

US stocks are heading higher after US ADP payrolls came in below expectations at 103k in November from 113k. The data comes after weaker than expected JOLTS jobs openings and supports the view that the Federal Reserve could look to cut interest rates early next year. Attention now turns to US non-farm payrolls and next week's FOMC meeting.

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December 6, 2023 08:56 AM

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AUD/USD falls post RBA, crude oil bears eye $70: Asian Open

AUD/USD continued lower for a second day after momentum turned at a key resistance level. But if seasonality remains true, it could be on for a better performance in the second half of the month. And whilst crude oil touched a 5-month low, we're on guard for a technical bounce before its next leg lower towards $70.

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December 5, 2023 04:46 PM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast :Stocks slip for a second day with jobs data in focus

Stocks are heading for a second day of losses as investors look ahead to data releases ahead of Friday's key non-farm payroll and next week's FOMC meeting. Attention is on US ISM services PMI which is expected to rise and JOLTS job openings which are forecast to show a slight decline to 9.3 million. Stronger than expected data could see the market push back on Fed rate cut expectations, pulling stocks lower.

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December 5, 2023 09:02 AM
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S&P 500 forecast: SPX looks to data for policy clues as blackout period kicks in

S&P 500 is heading to a lower open amid a cautious market mood. After strong gains across November, on bets that the Fed is at peak rates and could cut next year, attention now turns to economic data for clues over the Fed's next move. US factory orders are due today but the main focus will be on Friday's non-farm payroll figures. Meanwhile Uber rallies on S&P 500 inclusion news and Coinbase soars as Bitcoin hits breaks above $40k.

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December 4, 2023 09:03 AM
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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, gold, crude oil analysis: COT report

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks look cautiously to Fed Chair Powell's appearance

US stocks are set for a quiet open as investors look cautiously ahead to an appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later today. His comments will come as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation cooled to 3.5% YoY in October and as the market wraps up a month of impressive gains. Optimism that the Fed could start to cut rates next year lifted the Nasdaq 100 11% this month, its best monthly gain since mid-2022.

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December 1, 2023 09:15 AM
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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD struggles below 1.09 ahead of manufacturing data & Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Oil falls after OPEC+ underwhelmed.

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December 1, 2023 03:59 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises as Fed's preferred inflation gauge cools

Stocks are set to end November on a strong footing after US core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge cooled inline with forecasts. Core PCE eased to 3.5% YoY from 3.7%, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates. Attention now turns to NY Fed President Williams for his comments ahead of Fed Chair Powell speech tomorrow.

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November 30, 2023 09:16 AM
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DAX, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX extends gains ahead of EZ and US inflation data. Oil holds steady with the OPEC+ meeting and China data in focus.

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November 30, 2023 03:35 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Nasdaq 100 rises on rate cut optimism

US stocks are rising in risk on trade after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised expectations that the Fed was done hiking interest rates and is looking at when to start cutting rates. The market is now pricing in a 40% probability of a 25 basis point hike in March. Attention is shifting to tomorrow's inflation data for further clues over the path for rates.

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November 29, 2023 08:59 AM
Energy

Everything you need to know about the Exxon and Chevron acquisitions

The two largest US oil and gas companies both announced major acquisitions that will increase production while lowering taxable revenue in the near future. Learn more in our rundown of Chevron and Exxon here.

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November 28, 2023 02:05 PM
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Dow Jones forecast: Stocks set for a muted start ahead of consumer confidence data

Stocks are pointing to a subdued start as investors look ahead cautiously to Thursday's inflation data. Today consumer confidence figures are expected to show a slight deterioration in morale, Several Fed officials will speak across the day and could provide clues about the Fed's future path for interest rates. Retailers are in focus after Americans spent around $12 billion online on Cyber Monday.

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November 28, 2023 09:03 AM
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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks hover around a 3-month high at the start of a busy week

US stocks are set for a mixed open, with the S&P 500 hovering around a 3-month high after four straight weeks of gains. Optimism that the Fed has finished hiking interest rates has boosted demand for stocks. This week's US inflation data could provide further clues over the Fed's future path for rates. Today e-commerce companies will be in focus amid high expectations for strong Cyber Monday shopping.

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November 27, 2023 09:07 AM
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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises ahead of a key week for data. Oil slides with the focus on Thursday's OPEC+ meeting.

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November 27, 2023 03:46 AM
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USD/JPY bulls eye break of 150, Crude oil is flat for the year: Asian Open

A sharp reversal on USD/JPY last week brings a potential break above 150 in to focus, assuming the US dollar can find a bid and USD/CNH continues to hold above its 200-day MA. Meanwhile, crude oil has handed back all of its 2023 gains and it is a very fine line before the bias for a move to $80 becomes invalidated.

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November 26, 2023 04:58 PM

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S&P 500 forecast: S&P 500 drifts on Black Friday

US stocks are set for a subdued open on Black Friday with the market open for half a day. Despite drifting today, stocks have had an impressive November, on track to be the best monthly gain in 3 years as data pointed to the Fed being at the end of its hiking cycle. Attention will be on US PMI data which is expected to tick lower.

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November 24, 2023 08:59 AM
Forex trading

US dollar set to bounce? Crude oil bulls eye $80, ASX 200 bears eye 6950

The US dollar held a key support level on Thursday, which could provide the platform for a bounce today if all goes well. Crude oil continues to hint at its own potential bounce, whilst the ASX 200 appears to have formed a swing high on the daily chart.

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November 23, 2023 05:03 PM
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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises ahead of Eurozone PMI data. Oil falls further after OPEC+ delays its November meeting.

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November 23, 2023 03:58 AM
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Gold falters around $2k, crude oil looks set for a pre-OPEC bounce: Asian Open

Gold has formed a double top around $2000 which leaves the potential for a pullback before its next leg higher. And crude oil shows the potential for a bounce towards $80 or $82 ahead of next week's OPEC meeting.

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November 22, 2023 04:53 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: S&P 500 edges higher after Nvidia results, mixed data

US stocks are heading higher after a mildly lower close yesterday. Investors digest the latest Nvidia results, along with falling jobless claims and durable goods orders. The Fed meeting minutes saw policymakers reiterate that rates should remain high for longer. Still the market is convinced that the next move by the Fed will be a rate cut. Nvidia beat forecasts on top and bottom line.

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November 22, 2023 08:58 AM

Crude Oil Analysis: WTI, Brent Gain Ground Ahead of OPEC+

Both WTI and Brent crude oil could rally further from here after breaking out of their bearish channels...

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November 20, 2023 03:26 PM