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Crude Oil Analysis: WTI Approaches $100 Amid Growing Supply Risks

Recent trading sessions continue to highlight a strong bullish bias across the oil market. As reflected in the performance of WTI crude, prices have maintained a solid recovery since the beginning of October and are now up more than 12% since October 8, a development that continues to underline the strength of demand in the short term.

Oil Shock Hits Bond Yields and Squeezes the Consumer

U.S. 10-year and 30-year bond yields have moved higher as markets reopen after the Labor Day weekend, with the producer price index and the consumer price index landing within days of each other. The European Central Bank decision sits between them, where the economic projections and Christine Lagarde's press conference carry more market risk than the rate move itself. The DAX has also broken below its 21-day exponential moving average, a sign that momentum beneath a resilient index is starting to fade.

DAX, Crude oil forecast: Rising energy prices, yields threaten risk assets

Following a weak handover from Asia, European markets and US indices were under pressure this morning, as rising oil prices and elevated bond yields once again weighed on risk appetite. Among the major European indices, the German DAX will be in firm focus this week, with the ECB’s rate decision coming up on Thursday. That decision is likely to be a hike, as rising oil prices threaten to re-accelerate inflation.

Crude oil forecast: WTI threatens breakout as US-Iran tensions escalate

Oil prices have surged for a second consecutive day, after the US and Iran traded strikes for the first time in two weeks and re-escalated the tensions. WTI oil was climbing to one-month highs and threatening to break above a key bearish trend line, at the time of writing. The latest leg higher is being driven primarily by the renewed escalation in tensions between the US and Iran, with traders ignoring the controversial US-Venezuela deal for now

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