Soured sentiment keeps AUD/JPY on the ropes
Concerns that the US is headed for stagflation weighed on sentiment yesterday, which has placed AUD/JPY back onto our bearish watchlist.
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Concerns that the US is headed for stagflation weighed on sentiment yesterday, which has placed AUD/JPY back onto our bearish watchlist.

This was on the back of official data showing UK wage growth had reached its highest level since the financial crisis in the three months to August.

The markets were a little calmer in the first half of today’s session as the Turkish lira finally stopped falling, while the pound staged a short-lived bounce in the aftermath of mixed-bag UK data.

Most aspects of the US jobs data released on Friday morning disappointed expectations, but were unlikely disappointing enough to sway the Federal Reserve from its firm track towards higher interest rates through 2018 and beyond.

Monthly employment data will take center stage on Friday morning as the US Department of Labor will report on the number of jobs added to the US economy in April, the unemployment rate, and key wage growth figures.

For more than a week, the US dollar has risen sharply as US government bond yields have surged – with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield briefly topping 3% – while geopolitical risk perceptions have tentatively waned.

Economic news in the UK was also not great today, although it wasn’t too bad either.

Two primary developments on Tuesday led to a sharp fall for the already-struggling US dollar.

The official US jobs report for February was released on Friday morning, and despite a stellar reading for job creation – 313,000 jobs added in February against prior expectations of around 200,000 – the data was mixed overall, as wage growth was weak and the unemployment rate was slightly higher than expected.

February US jobs data, which will be reported on Friday morning by the US Department of Labor, is poised to take on increased importance for markets and investors.

USD/CAD pulled back sharply from the key 1.3000 psychological level on Tuesday, ahead of Wednesday’s interest rate decision from the Bank of Canada and Friday’s employment reports from both the US and Canada.

Two primary catalysts for the return of sharply elevated market volatility emanated from the U.S. – Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish testimony in front of the US Congress, and US President Trump’s announcement regarding sizeable import tariffs on steel and aluminum.

The US dollar was still seeking direction while equity markets bounced back on Friday after a week of persistently volatile trading, as interest rates and Federal Reserve speculation continued to dominate headlines.
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