After every bit of a relief rally, whatever opportunity investors get to make profit, they take it. And why wouldn’t they, given everything that’s happening in the world right now? The economic outlook remains grim. Inflation may have eased a little bit; it is still far too high and may remain elevated for longer than expected. This is what happened again this week. US index futures had rallied into the close on Monday, but they started to roll over once the new day started in Asia, before the selling continued after the US cash markets opened. Gold and silver fell, with the former remaining under pressure after it broke to a new low for the year sub $1680 last week as rising interest rate expectations continue to weigh on zero-yielding assets.
Going forward, it is all about when the interest rate hikes are fully priced. Until this happens, it is unlikely that the stock market will be able to shine very brightly. How quick the markets will price in rate hikes depends pretty much on incoming data, especially inflation figures.
The Dow Jones remains inside a bear trend, given those longer-term lower lows and lower highs, with the 200-day average now pointing lower and holding comfortably above the market. Old supports are turning into resistance. One such area is at around 31000, where the index had previously bounced from. But today, this area has turned into resistance, confirming that the sellers remain in full control of price action. From here, the Dow could fall towards the low it had reach in the summer, ahead of a busy week.
How to trade with FOREX.com
Follow these easy steps to start trading with FOREX.com today:
- Open a Forex.com account, or log-in if you’re already a customer.
- Search for the pair you want to trade in our award-winning platform.
- Choose your position and size, and your stop and limit levels.
- Place the trade.