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AUD/USD, AUD/CAD Analysis: Hawkish BOC hike concerns doves

The Bank of Canada’s (BOC) hawkish hike weighed on sentiment as it rekindled some concerns that central banks are not as close to their terminal rates as originally thought.


AUD/USD spikes higher as the RBA deliver a 25bp hike

The RBA decided to pull the trigger once more, and hiked their cash rate by another 25bp to a 13-year high of 4.1%.

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June 6, 2023 06:48 AM

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AUD/USD, ASX 200 analysis: AUD perks up ahead of RBA cash rate decision

Soft US economic data all but cements a Fed pause at their next meeting, helping to support AUD/USD ahead of today's RBA meeting (which has the potential to be live).


AUD/USD Analysis: Are the RBA on track for another hike?

A hot inflation report and hefty wage increase for minimum-wage earners has seen a rise in bets the RBA could hike at tomorrow’s meeting.

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June 5, 2023 04:54 AM
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EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD forecast – Forex Friday

In this week’s edition, we discuss the EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD forecast and look forward to the macro events in the week ahead.


AUD/USD, ASX 200 Analysis: Are the swing lows in for AUD/USD and the ASX?

A weaker USD has allowed the AUD/USD to recoup recent losses, whilst reduced bets of a Fed hike and a debt-ceiling deal with the Senate could be supportive of the ASX 200.

Australian dollar analysis: AUD/USD at YTD lows under 0.6500 – 0.6400 next?

AUD/USD is breaking down after another round of soft Chinese PMI figures overnight - see where to watch next!

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May 31, 2023 08:15 PM

AUD/USD, ASX 200 Analysis: Market Brief - 30th May 2023

Whilst the ASX posted a strong gain yesterday, it seems the debt-ceiling deal has been priced in, and AUD/USD may have risen for a second day but we're seeking a swing trade short opportunity.


AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: RBNZ to deliver a hawkish hike?

The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) are expected to hike by another 25bp tomorrow, despite 1 and 2-year inflation expectations plummeting at their fastest pace since the pandemic.


EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD: Commitment of traders report (COT) – 05/22/2023

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.


AUD/USD, AUD/JPY analysis: Employment report cools RBA-hike bets

With wage growth slightly above expectations yesterday, a strong employment report could have seen further calls for RBA to hike in June. Only, employment was softer.

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May 18, 2023 05:12 AM
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AUD/USD, AUD/JPY Analysis: RBA minutes reveal ‘finely balanced’ decision

Whilst the RBA minutes suggest their decision to hike in May was ‘finely balance’ between a hike and a pause, the central bank remain data dependant.

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May 16, 2023 04:52 AM
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Australian dollar analysis: AUD/USD drops sharply as US data slows

Risk-appetite-sensitive assets, including commodity currencies like the Canadian and Australian dollars, are seeing strong selling pressure amidst slowing US data


AUD forecast: Aussie consumers pull back on discretionary spending

Australian retail sales beat expectations in May, which keeps some pressure on the RBA to hike rates. But there are small signs of weakness behind the headline figure.

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AUD outlook: RBA on track to hold (again) on softer inflation?

Quarterly inflation figures for Australia back up hopes that peak inflation has indeed arrived, which could keep the RBA on track for another pause next week.

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April 26, 2023 04:24 AM

Are the RBA toying with a terminal rate of 3.6%?

Whilst a terminal rate of 3.6% for the RBA seems unlikely, they have now made it a possibility with the slight change of wording in their latest statement.

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April 4, 2023 06:28 AM
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What if the Fed Fund Futures curve is too dovish?

Fed fund futures (FFF) suggest an 87.1% chance of 25bp hike for today's FOMC meeting - and I agree with that part. But what about the rest of the curve?

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March 22, 2023 02:19 AM

What to do when there is carnage on the currency floor?

With volatility and headline risk remaining high, we take a look at some of the key drivers and how to approach the currency market under such conditions.


RBA Governor Lowe uses the ‘p’ word

On the back of a 25bp hawkish hike, with hypothesized the potential for the RBA to be nearing a pause. Less than 24 hours later, Governor Lowe comes right out and says it.

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March 8, 2023 03:13 AM