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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA eases from a record high, earnings are in focus

US stocks head for a muted start after record highs in the previous session. Amid a lack of economic data, all eyes are on a slew of earnings. Netflix will report after the close. Looking ahead, US Q4 GDP and core PCE are in focus towards the end of the week.

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January 23, 2024 09:13 AM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Dow Jones leave dubious candles at record highs

Whilst Wall Street indices notched up a fresh record high on Monday, price action across the major indices war of trend exhaustion.

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Dow Jones Forecast :DJIA rises despite hotter than forecast CPI

US stocks are heading higher despite hotter-than-expected CPI data. CPI rose 3.4% YoY in December, up from 3.1% in November. Core inflation cooled but by less than expected. This means a March rate cut is looking less likely. Despite an initial selloff, stocks are grinding higher once again. Earning seasons will kick off tomorrow with US banks.

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January 11, 2024 09:42 AM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted ahead of tomorrow's CPI report

The Dow Jones points to a muted start as investors wait cautiously for tomorrow's inflation data and the start of earnings season on Friday. The CPI report could provide further guidance on the possible path for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Hotter than forecast CPI could see the market rein in Fed rate cut bets, which could hurt demand for stocks. The CME Fed watch report sees a 65% chance of a March rate cut, down from 85% in mid December.

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January 10, 2024 09:24 AM
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Dow Jones Analysis: Studying the DJIA’s 8-Day Winning Streak to Record Highs

Historical returns following past 8-day winning streaks to record highs have been above average over the next 1-3 months, but more mixed over the next year.

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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks rise as rate cut optimism persists

US stocks are heading higher again as rate cut optimism persists. The market has shrugged off recent comments by Fed speakers pushing back on rate-cut bets. Vice Chair John Williams and Fed policymaker Mester have suggested that the market is ahead of the Fed with regard to rate cuts. Elsewhere, Google rises despite agreeing to pay $700M to US consumers and the state and pledged to allow for greater competition in the Play store.

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December 19, 2023 09:08 AM
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Dow theory put to the test as DJIA breakout leads S&P 500, Nasdaq 100

The Dow Jones (DJIA) closed to a record high after the latest FOMC meeting. Will this pave the way for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to follow suit?

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US Index Technical Analysis: Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Reverse off Multi-Month Highs

“No news is good news” as they say, and if US indices continue to consolidate around current levels, we could be looking at a situation where “no price action is good price action.”

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Dow Jones forecast: Stocks set for a muted start ahead of consumer confidence data

Stocks are pointing to a subdued start as investors look ahead cautiously to Thursday's inflation data. Today consumer confidence figures are expected to show a slight deterioration in morale, Several Fed officials will speak across the day and could provide clues about the Fed's future path for interest rates. Retailers are in focus after Americans spent around $12 billion online on Cyber Monday.

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November 28, 2023 09:03 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast :DJIA rises cautiously and is set for strong weekly gains

The Dow Jones is heading for a modestly positive open, but is set to book strong gains across the week. Cooling inflation, lower treasury yields and bets that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates has helped to boost the DJIA by 1.9% this week, while the USD is on track for a steep weekly decline. Oil is also steadying after steep losses in the previous session on ample supply and demand outlook concerns.

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November 17, 2023 09:05 AM
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US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 All Test Key Resistance

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are all testing key resistance levels and could pull back over the next couple days...

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Dow Jones Forecast :Dow Jones extends gains after PPI, retail sales data

US stocks are heading higher, extending gains from yesterday after PPI and retail sales data. PPI fell -0.5% MoM down from 0.4%, boding well for CPI to cool further. Meanwhile, retail sales fell less than expected. The data supports the view that inflation is cooling and the US economy could avoid a recession, lifting sentiment and stocks higher. Attention now turns to a high-stakes meeting between US President Biden & China's Xi Jinping.

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November 15, 2023 09:10 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast :Dow Jones rises with jobless claims, Powell in focus

US stocks are looking to a positive start after US jobless claims pointed to a cooling in the jobs market and ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Continuous jobless claims rose by more than forecast suggesting that it was becoming harder for Americans that are unemployed to find a job . The data comes after Friday's weak NFP report and could add to bets that the Fed is done hiking rates. Fed Chair Powell may shed more light on the future path for interest rates.

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November 9, 2023 09:21 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks struggle as peak rate optimism fades

US stocks are pointing to a subdued open as optimism fades that the Fed has reached peak interest rates. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said that he believes the Fed still has more work to do to tame inflation. His comments come ahead of several more Fed speakers later today. As well as Fed commentary, US corporate earnings are in focus.

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November 7, 2023 09:07 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks fall as treasury yields hit 5%

US stocks are heading lower as treasury yields push over 5% amid bets that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. Last week Federal Chair Jerome Powell pointed out the strength in the US economy and the tight labour market as reasons why the Fed may need to act aggressively to tame inflation. US Q34 GDP and core CPI inflation are due later this week. Developments in the Middle East and nerves ahead of big tech earnings are also pulling stocks lower.

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October 23, 2023 08:35 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast :Stocks muted ahead of Fed speakers

Stocks are set for a muted open as investors look ahead to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials. The speeches come after comments from Fed officials yesterday raised questions over whether the US central bank would raise interest rates again this year. Meanwhile, oil prices are edging lower after strong gains yesterday and as the Mideast conflict rages on. The IMF also upwardly revised US economic growth forecasts for this year and next.

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October 10, 2023 09:09 AM
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Dow Jones forecast: How will Nike earnings impact NKE stock?

Nike shares are at an 11-month low ahead of its results as markets worry about a slowdown in US consumer spending.

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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks fall on persistent concerns over higher rates for longer

US stocks are set to kick the final week of September off on a negative note, extending losses from last week and putting the three main indices on track for losses across September. The latest leg lower comes amid lingering concerns of higher interest rates for longer after the FOMC last week and as worries of a US government shutdown rise. The economic calendar is quiet with Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari due to speak later. Amazon also ups its game in the AI race.

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September 25, 2023 08:23 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast :Stocks rise but are set for heavy weekly losses

US stocks are heading higher but are set to book steep weekly losses after the hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The prospect of higher rates for longer and higher treasury yields is hurting demand for stocks, particularly tech stocks. The Nasdaq is set to fall 3.5% this week and is down 5.5% across the month. US PMI data is due shortly.

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September 22, 2023 09:09 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks steady as the 2-day FOMC meeting begins

US stocks are holding steady for a second straight session as investors opt to sit on the sidelines as the FOMC's 2-day meeting kicks off. The Fed is mot expected to hike rates but given recent resilient data and rising oil prices, the Fed is likely to keep the door open for further hikes. Adding to evidence of a resilient economy, the OECD upwardly revised the US growth outlook for this year and next. Separately, Instacart is set to IPO at $30 per share today.

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September 19, 2023 08:47 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks struggle as attention turns to the Fed

US stocks are heading for a modestly lower start as investors look ahead to the FOMC rate decision next week. A string of upbeat data has highlighted the resilience of the US economy which has eased recession concerns. However, the market hasn't raised expectations of a rate hike following the data. No rate hike is expected in September, but the Fed could leave the door open for another hike before the end of the year.

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September 15, 2023 09:03 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: Stocks drift lower ahead of the Apple event, tomorrow's CPI

US stocks are pointing to a modestly lower start as investors look ahead to the Apple event later today, tomorrow's US inflation data and after disappointing current quarter revenue growth guidance from Oracle. Apple is expected to unveil its iPhone 15 just days after China banned the use of iPhones by state employees. There is no US economic data due today. The key focus this week is tomorrow's inflation data.

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September 12, 2023 08:22 AM
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Dow Jones, ASX 200 cling to support after strong ISM report: Asian Open

A strong ISM report weighed on US stock markets on Wednesday, which saw the Down Jones retrace for a third day and drag SPI 200 futures lower overnight. Yet both the Dow Jones and ASX 200 find themselves at interesting levels of potential support.

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September 6, 2023 07:13 PM