
AUDUSD posts largest pip move of the week
The pair remains under pressure amid dovish tone of the RBA.
Share this:
On Monday, no major economic data is expected to be released.
The Euro was bullish against most of its major pairs with the exception of the NZD and CAD. In Europe, Brexit talks made no progress as European Union negotiators called on the U.K. side to negotiate further. European leaders consider U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson threat to abandon Brexit talks today is a bluff. The European Commission has posted final readings of September CPI at -0.3% on year, as expected, and August trade balance at 21.9 billion euros surplus (vs 18 billion euros surplus expected).
The Australian dollar was bearish against all of its major pairs.
On last week's U.S. economic data front:
Retail Sales Advance jumped 1.9% on month in September (+0.8% expected), compared to +0.6% in August.
Industrial Production unexpectedly fell 0.6% on month in September (+0.5% expected), compared to +0.4% in August.
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 81.2 on month in the October preliminary reading (80.5 expected), from 80.4 in the September final reading.
The Monthly Budget Deficit contracted to 124.6 billion dollars on month in September (-124.0 billion dollars expected), from 200.1 billion dollars in August.
The Empire Manufacturing index dropped to 10.5 on month in October (14.0 expected), from 17.0 in September.
Initial Jobless Claims unexpectedly increased to 898K for the week ending October 10th (825K expected), from a revised 845K in the week before. Continuing Claims declined to 10,018K for the week ending October 3rd (10,550K expected), from a revised 11,183K in the previous week.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Applications slipped 0.7% for the week ending October 9th, compared to +4.6% in the prior week.
The Producer Price Index Final Demand increased 0.4% on month in September (+0.2% expected), compared to +0.3% in August.
The National Federation of Independent Business's Small Business Optimism Index jumped to 104.0 on month in September (100.9 expected), from 100.2 in August.
Finally, the Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% on month in September (as expected), compared to +0.4% in August.
The AUDUSD dropped over 2.17% (-157 pips) on the week making it the largest mover of the week. Looking at the chart, a continuation lower looks likely after a bearish cross was validated when the 20-day moving average (red) crossed below the 50-day moving average (blue). A bearish trend channel is taking shape. Key resistance can be seen at the 0.725 area with a preference to the downside to reach 0.7025 support and ultimately 0.692 in extension.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
Happy Trading.
On Monday, no major economic data is expected to be released.
The Euro was bullish against most of its major pairs with the exception of the NZD and CAD. In Europe, Brexit talks made no progress as European Union negotiators called on the U.K. side to negotiate further. European leaders consider U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson threat to abandon Brexit talks today is a bluff. The European Commission has posted final readings of September CPI at -0.3% on year, as expected, and August trade balance at 21.9 billion euros surplus (vs 18 billion euros surplus expected).
The Australian dollar was bearish against all of its major pairs.
On last week's U.S. economic data front:
Retail Sales Advance jumped 1.9% on month in September (+0.8% expected), compared to +0.6% in August.
Industrial Production unexpectedly fell 0.6% on month in September (+0.5% expected), compared to +0.4% in August.
The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 81.2 on month in the October preliminary reading (80.5 expected), from 80.4 in the September final reading.
The Monthly Budget Deficit contracted to 124.6 billion dollars on month in September (-124.0 billion dollars expected), from 200.1 billion dollars in August.
The Empire Manufacturing index dropped to 10.5 on month in October (14.0 expected), from 17.0 in September.
Initial Jobless Claims unexpectedly increased to 898K for the week ending October 10th (825K expected), from a revised 845K in the week before. Continuing Claims declined to 10,018K for the week ending October 3rd (10,550K expected), from a revised 11,183K in the previous week.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Applications slipped 0.7% for the week ending October 9th, compared to +4.6% in the prior week.
The Producer Price Index Final Demand increased 0.4% on month in September (+0.2% expected), compared to +0.3% in August.
The National Federation of Independent Business's Small Business Optimism Index jumped to 104.0 on month in September (100.9 expected), from 100.2 in August.
Finally, the Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% on month in September (as expected), compared to +0.4% in August.
The AUDUSD dropped over 2.17% (-157 pips) on the week making it the largest mover of the week. Looking at the chart, a continuation lower looks likely after a bearish cross was validated when the 20-day moving average (red) crossed below the 50-day moving average (blue). A bearish trend channel is taking shape. Key resistance can be seen at the 0.725 area with a preference to the downside to reach 0.7025 support and ultimately 0.692 in extension.
Source: GAIN Capital, TradingView
Happy Trading.
Latest market news
View more newsThe complete CFD trading experience
Award-winning platforms, competitive spreads, low commissions and dedicated support.
We live and breathe the markets and are dedicated to helping traders realise their ambitions as we continue to set the industry bar.
Economic calendar
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

EUR/USD Q4 2026 Outlook: Euro at a Crossroads as Fed, ECB Tighten 9 25 2026
EUR/USD enters Q4 at a pivotal inflection point as competing Fed-ECB policy paths and persistent inflation risks collide with major technical support.

USD/JPY Q4 2026 Outlook: Hawkish Fed Pricing Clashes With Intervention Risk
The year-end tug-of-war is clear: hawkish Fed pricing supports USD/JPY, while intervention risk limits the upside.

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY 4% Rally Challenges Post-Intervention Downtrend 9 24 2026
USD/JPY momentum has shifted sharply higher, putting a major resistance confluence in focus as U.S. and Japanese event risk builds.
StoneX Europe Ltd may make third party material available on this website which may contain information included but not limited to the conditions of financial markets. The material is for information purposes only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or investment recommendation and/or an investment research and/or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the client following an assessment by him/her of their situation.
StoneX Europe Ltd makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. We are not under any obligation to update any such material. Any opinion made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinion of StoneX Europe Ltd.





