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Dollar analysis: FOMC and key data puts greenback in sharp focus

The resilience of US data we have seen over the past couple of weeks hasn’t led to any further appreciation in interest rate expectations, keeping the dollar in an overall holding pattern with a slight bullish tilt, especially against the weaker currencies like the JPY and EUR. But the likes of the AUD and previously CHF have shown some resilience, perhaps suggesting that most of the positivity may be priced in for the greenback.

November 1, 2023 12:29 PM
Forex trading

Dollar analysis: DXY, EUR/USD outlook in focus – Forex Friday

It has been a tumultuous and eventful week for the global financial markets. The ongoing situation in the Middle East has triggered a surge of volatility in the oil and stock markets, compelling investors to re-evaluate their strategies and shift their focus from riskier assets to “safer” investments.

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S&P 500 and Dollar Index Analysis - Technical Tuesday

Welcome to another edition of Technical Tuesday. In this week’s report, we will get technical on the S&P 500 and Dollar Index. The benchmark index has bounced back as investors' focus turns to FOMC minutes, CPI and Consumer Sentiment, with US bank earnings also to start on Friday. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index chart shows a potential reversal signal ahead of all these events.

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Q4 US Dollar Outlook: US Economic Exceptionalism to End?

The US dollar has surged on US economic exceptionalism so far this year, but that trend may change in Q4...

Forex trading

Dollar analysis: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and Yields in focus – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus the US dollar, EUR/USD and GBP/USD. The dollar index eyes March high and set to close higher for 10th consecutive week, with BoJ inaction and rising crude oil prices providing additional boost for greenback.

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Dollar analysis: EUR/USD, DXY and Gold in focus - Technical Tuesday

Welcome to Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this edition of Technical Tuesday, we will analyse the EUR/USD, Gold and the Dollar Index.

Forex trading

Dollar Analysis: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and DXY in focus - Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus the US dollar, EUR/USD and GBP/USD ahead of next week’s key events: FOMC and BoE rate decisions.

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September 15, 2023 07:30 AM
Forex trading

Dollar analysis: DXY, EUR/USD, Gold and USD/CAD in focus – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus the US dollar, gold, USD/CAD and EUR/USD, ahead of next week’s key events: US CPI and ECB policy decision.

Dollar analysis: EUR/USD and DXY approaching key levels - Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus on the US dollar analysis, and provide updates on the EUR/USD outlook, before looking ahead to the next week, when we have global PMI data and the start of the Jackson Hole summit.

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August 18, 2023 12:16 PM
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Dollar analysis: EUR/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY outlook – Forex Friday

The US dollar was coming under a bit of pressure in the first half of Friday’s session, but after Thursday’s sharp rally it remained to be seen if the selling had any real momentum behind it. The Fed’s favorite inflation measure – core PCE – came in a touch softer but this was offset by a stronger-than-expected personal spending data. Investors were looking forward to another very busy week for macro data and central banks.

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Dollar analysis: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD outlook – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we discuss selected currency themes mainly from a macro viewpoint, but we also throw in a pinch of technical analysis here and there. In this week’s report, we will discuss a couple of dollar pairs and look forward to next week’s key events affecting the currency markets.

Dollar outlook: DXY, USD/CHF and USD/JPY analysis ahead of CPI

While it is down now, the US dollar outlook is subject to change depending on the outlook of the data.

Research

Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision

We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.

Research

US retail sales recap: Recession, Reschmession

The previously omnipresent calls for a 2023 recession in the US are looking more and more wrong by the day.

Research

Dollar strengthens ahead of US retail sales

Investors are pricing in a higher terminal interest rate in the US

Research

Markets in holding pattern as traders eye US CPI

…once again the focus is going to be on inflation and central bank speech.

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February 13, 2023 08:35 AM
Research

Will Powell disappoint dollar die-hards?

Futures markets now tally with many Fed policymakers for the first time this year, accepting the Fed's 'terminal rate' will be above 5%...

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February 7, 2023 08:57 AM

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Research

Dollar extends rally

That surprise 500-thousand-plus job gains we saw on Friday means the market may gravitate towards “higher for longer” narrative

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February 6, 2023 07:00 AM
Research

Dollar could rebound as DXY tests major support

The EUR/USD, GBP/USD and commodity dollars could all fall back if sentiment towards risk remains subdued.

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December 21, 2022 06:29 AM
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Technical Tuesday: S&P 500, Dollar Index, GBP/USD and Gold

In this week’s edition, we are getting technical on the Dollar Index, S&P 500, GBP/USD and gold

Research

Dollar rebounds on China, faces busy week

Are we about to see a more profound dollar recovery?

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November 28, 2022 11:56 AM
Research

Dollar index clings onto bull trend ahead of CPI

CPI is way too high for the Fed to ease off the gas.

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November 10, 2022 07:10 AM
Research

FOMC meeting preview: Fed expected to hike 75bps, but is the pivot imminent?

The stakes couldn’t be higher for this month’s FOMC meeting - see why!

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November 1, 2022 10:30 AM