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AUD/USD, EUR/USD: Downside momentum building as key levels give way

AUD/USD and EUR/USD are looking vulnerable on the charts, pulling back in recent days on the back of disappointing domestic economic data. With uncertainty over the US, Eurozone and Chinese economic outlook elevated, it comes across as the type of environment in which the US dollar would normally shine.

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December 6, 2023 06:48 PM

AUD/USD, ASX 200: Three-peat of hawkish disappointment under the RBA’s new leadership

The question now for AUD/USD and ASX 200 is whether the tone truly reflects what the RBA is thinking, or will we see a repeat of recent months where subsequent commentary has been far more hawkish in nature?

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December 4, 2023 11:23 PM

AUD/USD, USD/CNH: PMIs suggest China’s economy is nearing stall speed

Chinese economic activity is nearing stall speed with the government’s purchasing managers indexes (PMIs) falling further in November, surprising markets to the downside for a second consecutive month.

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November 29, 2023 09:17 PM

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Gold nuggets

Gold needs plenty to go right to maintain its bullish momentum

Gold is knocking on the door of record highs heading into what has recently been an extremely strong period for bullion prices. But having rallied so hard since early October, it comes across as being priced for perfection near-term.

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November 28, 2023 09:25 PM

Gold, AUD/USD: Softer US dollar and bond yields provide window for upside

A softer US dollar has helped AUD/USD and gold push towards key technical levels, suggesting the near-term price performance may determine their longer-term trajectory as we head towards 2024.

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November 26, 2023 06:23 PM

USD/JPY: Offshore drivers remain in control unless the BOJ can normalise policy

USD/JPY traders barely acknowledged the release of Japan’s October inflation report, reinforcing the view the only thing that matters for the pair right now is developments in the US economy, unless the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signals or starts to normalise monetary policy.

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November 23, 2023 07:27 PM
Congress building

USD/JPY, AUD/USD: Beware backing the buck on volatile jobless claims data

An unusually large reaction to volatile second tier US economic data has boosted the US dollar, seeing USD/JPY and AUD/USD reserve part of their early week moves. But whether it is justified is contentious, suggesting there may be grounds to fade.

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November 22, 2023 06:28 PM

USD/JPY: Weakening upstream inflation bodes ill for BOJ wage acceleration

USD/JPY is trading 40 pips away from multi-decade highs as upstream inflationary pressures in Japan are coming off hard. Perhaps that explains we've had no verbal intervention attempts from the government today?

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November 12, 2023 09:02 PM

GBP/AUD: Central bank divergence put to the test as risk laden week begins

With plenty of major data and central bank speeches scheduled in the UK and Australia this week, the next few days may prove to be critical for the medium-term trajectory for GBP/AUD heading into 2024.

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November 12, 2023 07:52 PM
Downward trend

AUD/USD, gold: Reversal roadblocks loom as prices near key levels

AUD/USD and gold have struggled in November, giving back some of the gains achieved in late October. With both sitting near key levels, we look at the prospects for a bounce or extension of the pullback in the days ahead.

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November 8, 2023 06:17 PM

AUD/USD, ASX 200: Don’t be so quick to call it a dovish RBA hike

Traders believe the RBA is one-and done when it comes to the restart of its tightening cycle, jumping to the conclusion the 25 basis point rate hike to 4.35% will likely be the last. AUD/USD fell while the ASX 200 rallied.

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November 6, 2023 11:38 PM

China A50, USD/CNH: Prime reversal candidates should US economic exceptionalism falter

It’s been a rough year for Chinese markets with the A50 share index and CNH down sharply as hopes for booming economic activity coming out of the pandemic failed to materialise.

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November 6, 2023 06:17 PM
Australian flag

AUD/USD analysis: RBA, Peak Fed Rates Narrative makes Aussie Currency Pair of the Week

The AUD/USD is our featured currency pair of the week, in what will be a quieter week for economic data compared to the previous week. Still, it could be a busy one for the Aussie given that we have a rate decision from the RBA as well as economic data from China and the US to look forward to.

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Markets 4X4: What caught our eye in Asian trade

Huge day for S&P 500, sweet spot for fixed income investors, AUD/USD perking up while Japan win big with timely bond auction.

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November 2, 2023 12:58 AM

Markets 4x4: What caught our eye in Asian trade

USD/JPY intervention warnings escalate, PBOC's record push against market forces, USD King for a reason and US real yields push higher before Treasury refunding announcement. Gold is struggling in the difficult environment.

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November 1, 2023 12:16 AM
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NZD/USD: Rising labour market slack points to soft wages and no more RBNZ rate hikes

NZD/USD is falling in the wake of a soft New Zealand employment report, reinforcing the view that when the RBNZ next moves interest rates, it’s far more likely to be a cut than hike.

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October 31, 2023 06:28 PM

Markets 4x4: What caught our eye in Asian trade

No weekend hangover for US stock futures, bonds calm before BOJ, AUD/USD breaks downtrend while iron ore breaks higher.

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October 30, 2023 12:51 AM

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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Hot retail sales, inflation bolster case for RBA rate hike

Australian retail sales surged in September, solidifying the view the RBA is likely to restart its interest rate hiking cycle when it meets on November 7.

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October 29, 2023 09:56 PM

Markets 4x4: What caught our eye in Asian trade

Amazon delivers, crude gains on renewed skirmishes, Australian inflation expectations jump while Tokyo price pressures turn up the heat on BOJ.

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October 27, 2023 12:37 AM

USD/JPY: Big call looms for BOJ YCC as Tokyo inflationary pressures heat up

Underlying inflation in Tokyo came in well above expectations for October, a potentially important development for USD/JPY and the future of the BOJ's yield curve control program.

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October 26, 2023 10:08 PM

Markets 4x4: What caught our eye in Asian trade

Crude oil's grip on markets, AUD/USD hammered as RBA rate hike bets slashed, BOJ faces important choice as USD/JPY tops 150 while Nasdaq 100 rally faces it's moment of truth. Gold continues to glisten despite the tough environment.

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October 26, 2023 12:26 AM
Downwards trend with red arrow

AUD/USD: Tumbles as RBA rate hike bets slashed, eyes fresh 2023 lows

Tumbling US stock futures and neutral language from RBA Governor Michele Bullock has seen AUD/USD plunge in early Asian trade, continuing the sizeable reversal seen on Wednesday following the release of Australia’s Q3 hot inflation report.

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October 25, 2023 06:59 PM
trading floor

Markets 4x4: What caught our eye during Asian trade

Australia inflation too hot to ignore, China confidence remains elusive, Hang Seng traders receive a gift while something is up with Japan's bond market.

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October 25, 2023 12:47 AM