
Gold Price Weakness Keeps RSI Out of Overbought Territory
The price of gold pulls back ahead of the record high ($3500) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of overbought territory.
Share this:
Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD
The price of gold pulls back ahead of the record high ($3500) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of overbought territory.
Gold Price Weakness Keeps RSI Out of Overbought Territory
Bullion struggles to retain the advance from the start of the week as US President Donald Trump announces that ‘together with our strong ally, the United Kingdom, we have reached the first, historic trade deal since Liberation Day,’ and the waning threat of a trade war may curb the appeal of gold as President Trump insists that there’s ‘many more to come.’
Join David Song for the Weekly Fundamental Market Outlook webinar.
In turn, the price of gold may may continue to give back the rebound from the monthly low ($3202) as there appears to be a shift in investor confidence, but the recent weakness in bullion may turn out to be temporary as it remains an alternative to fiat-currencies.
With that said, the price of gold may continue to track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA ($3121) as it still holds above the moving average, but failure to hold above the indicator may signal a potential change in trend.
XAU/USD Price Chart – Daily
Chart Prepared by David Song, Senior Strategist; XAU/USD on TradingView
- The price of gold pulls back ahead of the record high ($3500) to snap the recent series of higher highs and lows, with a move below $3280 (100% Fibonacci extension) raising the scope for a test of the weekly low ($3238).
- Failure to defend the monthly low ($3202) may push the price of gold towards the $3160 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) to $3190 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region, with the next area of interest coming in around $3120 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).
- At the same time, a move back above $3370 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) brings the April high ($3500) on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around $3540 (161.8% Fibonacci extension).
Additional Market Outlooks
GBP/USD Post-BoE Rebound Unravels amid US-UK Trade Deal
Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Threatens December High
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Reverses Ahead of Monthly High
EUR/USD Defends Rebound from Monthly Low Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist
Follow on X at @DavidJSong
Related tags:
Open an account in minutes
Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution, and enjoy tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 0.3 pts on indices.
Economic calendar
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Gold, silver outlook: Sandwiched between bullish bonds and AI angst
XAU/USD and XAG/USD may be approaching a bullish turning point as Treasury futures threaten a breakout. The problem? Both metals have recently been trading more like tech stocks than havens.

Gold Rallies Towards a $4k Test – but Can Bulls Break the Trend?
Gold prices melted down last week but so far this week, a different tone has taken over. But can this turn into anything more than a short squeeze?

Gold forecast: XAU/USD stabilised after recent falls – for now
Gold has started the first week of the new month trying to recover some ground after another bruising week. Oil prices have taken a sharp drop and that has allowed risk assets to bounce back, which has clearly helped the precious metal too. However, with sentiment remaining bearish towards the metals, and with $4000 level having been taken out last week, the path of least resistance is to the downside for gold.
This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.







