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Gold Price Stages Five-Day Rally for First Time Since March

The price of gold trades back above the 50-Day SMA ($2664) as it stages a five-day rally for the first time since March.

David Song
David Song

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Gold Price Stages Five-Day Rally for First Time Since March

Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD

The price of gold trades back above the 50-Day SMA ($2664) as it stages a five-day rally for the first time since March.

Gold Price Stages Five-Day Rally for First Time Since March

The price of gold trades to a fresh weekly high ($2712) as it carves a series of higher highs and lows, and bullion may once again track the positive slope in the moving average as it attempts to retrace the decline following the US election.

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With that said, the price of gold may climb back towards the monthly high ($2762) as it extends the advance from the start of the week, but bullion may consolidate over the remainder of the month if it struggles to extend the bullish price series.

XAU/USD Price Chart – Daily

Gold Price Daily Chart 11222024 

Chart Prepared by David Song, Strategist; XAU/USD on TradingView

  • Recent price action in gold raises the scope for a further recovery, with a break/close $2730 (100% Fibonacci extension) bringing the monthly high ($2762) on the radar.
  • A breach above the yearly high ($2790) opens up $2850 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) but failure to break/close $2730 (100% Fibonacci extension) may keep the price of gold within the monthly range.
  • Lack of momentum to hold above the $2630 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to $2660 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the price of gold back towards $2590 (100% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around $2550 (61.8% Fibonacci extension).

Additional Market Outlooks

GBP/USD Selloff Pushes RSI Up Against Oversold Zone

USD/JPY Weakness Curbs Threat of Currency Intervention

US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Recovery Keeps Yearly Range Intact

USD/CAD Rally Unravels to Pull RSI Back from Overbought Zone

--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist

Follow on X at @DavidJSong

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Gold forecast: XAU/USD stabilised after recent falls – for now

Gold has started the first week of the new month trying to recover some ground after another bruising week. Oil prices have taken a sharp drop and that has allowed risk assets to bounce back, which has clearly helped the precious metal too. However, with sentiment remaining bearish towards the metals, and with $4000 level having been taken out last week, the path of least resistance is to the downside for gold.

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