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Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Pullback Puts July Uptrend to the Test

EUR/USD has retreated from last week’s highs, but the broader recovery remains intact as traders brace for Jackson Hole.

Michael Boutros
Michael Boutros

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Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Pullback Puts July Uptrend to the Test 8 27 2026

Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis

EUR/USD stalled beneath the year's heaviest resistance cluster after a four-week rally, slipping back under its 52-week moving average. Michael Boutros, Senior Market Analyst at StoneX, walks through the euro against the U.S. dollar across the weekly, daily, and four-hour charts, and explains where the pullback structure holds or fails. The rally that lifted EUR/USD more than 3.4% off the yearly low broke through the 52-week moving average before fading into the year's most crowded resistance zone, and price has now slipped back below it. The ascending channel off last month's low remains intact on the daily chart, while momentum has ducked back below the midline on shorter time frames, leaving the January low as the line separating a routine retracement from a failed breakout. Attention turns to the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, eurozone inflation data at the start of next week, and the ADP employment report and nonfarm payrolls that follow.

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