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FTSE 100 and GBP/USD forecast: UK data gives BoE March cut a further boost

The FTSE 100 edged higher to close in on last week’s record, as the pound weakened following the release of UK wages and Jobs data that puts a March rate cut firmly on the table, barring any surprises in tomorrow’s inflation report. Unless we see a sharp turnaround in data, I would be expecting another rate cut in June, and possibly more in the summer if inflation risks ease. This should keep the longer term FTSE 100 forecast firmly supported and keep a lid on sterling.

Fawad Razaqzada
Fawad Razaqzada

FTSE 100 forecast - Indices weekend outlook | February 16, 2026

With the US out on Monday for Presidents’ Day and China celebrating Spring Festival all week, it makes sense to focus on European markets to start the week off. So the FTSE 100 forecast is in focus for this week’s weekend indices outlook. We have plenty of UK, European and US earnings to look forward to as the week progresses, while key data from the UK and US will make rate cut expectations a key talking point on both sides of the pond.

Indices weekly outlook: FTSE holds steady ahead of UK data after tech volatility

Last week saw the technology sector take a plunge, before dip buyers stepped in on Friday to save the day, helping to fuel a late rally on Wall Street. In Europe, the major indices also came off their earlier lows to close either flat or in the positive. In the week ahead, the global macro calendar is lighter, with US market closed on Tuesday in observance of Veterans Day.

DAX, FTSE and S&P 500 forecast: Major indices bounce back as risk appetite improves

Investors are also expecting further rate cuts from major central banks, even if there was a bit of hawkish repricing of US interest rates following Powell’s comments at the FOMC presser last week. Still, easing of monetary policy is driving stocks higher, while the recent extension of a trade truce between the US and China means appetite for AI-related stocks remains strong, with earnings also largely being positive this reporting season.

FTSE 100 forecast: Technical Tuesday August 12, 2025

n this version of Technical Tuesday, we’re looking at the key drivers shaping global markets, UK economic data, and what technical signals are telling us about the near-term FTSE 100 forecast. Markets were quite quiet in the early parts of Tuesday’s trade, awaiting the release of key US CPI report, which later came in slightly lower than expected and that was enough to send US futures sharply higher....

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