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Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Bulls Press a Pivotal Breakout Zone

The rally has extended more than 3.8% from the June low with the bulls now facing the pivotal resistance. Battle lines drawn on the AUD/USD charts.

Michael Boutros
Michael Boutros

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Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Bulls Press a Pivotal Breakout Zone 8 18 2026

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis

The Australian dollar rally has run seven of the last eight weeks and is now stalling where three Fibonacci markers converge. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, walks the weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts to show where the advance is meeting resistance and what would confirm the next leg. The uptrend the Australian dollar lost in June has been acting as overhead resistance for three weeks running, and that broken slope now lands on the same region as a key retracement level. Momentum readings sit at their strongest since February while price has yet to close above the level that would confirm resumption. Behind the move, traders have pushed out their expectations for the Federal Reserve's next step, and the U.S. dollar has responded in kind.

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--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist

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