FOREX.com by StoneX logo

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD October Breakout Reverses Toward Critical Support

Aussie bulls face a critical test of rising trend support, with the October recovery under threat as selling pressure builds into November.

Global Author
Global Author

Share this:

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD October Breakout Reverses Toward Critical Support 11 3 2026

Australian Dollar Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis

The Australian dollar fell on the RBA hike as the central bank dropped its explicit pledge to raise rates further if needed. Michael Boutros, StoneX Media Senior Market Analyst, breaks down the Aussie dollar across the weekly, daily and four-hour charts and maps the event risk ahead. The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered its fifth rate hike of the year but removed the line committing to further increases if needed. Governor Bullock said the change should not be read as a signal that the RBA is on hold, yet markets have taken it that way. The Australian dollar has yet to post a weekly close below its 52-week moving average, the key test for a consolidation range that has held since March, with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement marking major support. U.S. nonfarm payrolls lead a loaded calendar that also includes ADP employment, ISM services and Australian trade balance data, and payrolls carry the largest potential impact on U.S. monetary policy.

This content was created by an affiliate of FOREX.com and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of Forex.com, StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by FOREX.com.

Whitepaper
Key AUD/USD Economic Data Releases

image-20261103110833-1

Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.

Active Short-term Technical Video Updates

--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist

Follow Michael on X @MBForex

The complete CFD trading experience

Award-winning platforms, competitive spreads, low commissions and dedicated support.

We live and breathe the markets and are dedicated to helping traders realise their ambitions as we continue to set the industry bar.

Economic calendar

Web Trader platform

Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

Related articles

USD/JPY Analysis: Rising U.S. Yields Leave the Yen on the Defensive

As the first week of November progresses, renewed weakness in the Japanese yen is once again becoming evident in the short term. This dynamic can be seen in the recent performance of USD/JPY, which has posted two consecutive bullish sessions and gained more than 0.7%, reflecting a return of buying interest in the dollar while the yen continues to lose momentum.

StoneX Europe Ltd may make third party material available on this website which may contain information included but not limited to the conditions of financial markets. The material is for information purposes only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or investment recommendation and/or an investment research and/or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the client following an assessment by him/her of their situation.

StoneX Europe Ltd makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. We are not under any obligation to update any such material. Any opinion made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinion of StoneX Europe Ltd.

It's your world. Trade it.