
Gold Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Nears a Defining Breakout
Gold is in consolidation above the yearly low for a seventh-consecutive week, with the next breakout likely to determine the August outlook.
Share this:

Gold Technical Outlook: XAU/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Gold price analysis shows the metal coiling in a seven-week range just above its yearly lows as momentum grinds to its weakest since late 2023. Michael Boutros, FOREX.com Senior Market Analyst, breaks down gold across the weekly, daily, and four-hour charts and the fundamentals that could drive its next directional move. Boutros explains why gold has stalled in a tightening consolidation range and what a genuine breakout would take to confirm a more significant low. He also weighs how Federal Reserve rate expectations and the upcoming ADP employment and nonfarm payrolls releases could shape where gold goes next.
This content was created by an affiliate of FOREX.com and represents the views and opinions of the author/speakers, not the views and opinions of Forex.com, StoneX Group Inc., or its subsidiaries. The content has not been independently reviewed by FOREX.com.
Key US Economic Data Releases

Active Short-term Technical Charts
- Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Breakout Risk Builds Into Month-End
- Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Rally Presses Yearly Trend Resistance
- Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Rebound Challenges the July Downtrend
- Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Rally Tests Make-or-Break Resistance
- Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Defends the Uptrend as the Range Tightens
- British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Breakout Attempts Major Trend Reversal
- US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Uptrend Faces Make-or-Break Test After CPI
--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist
Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex
Open an account in minutes
Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution, and enjoy tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 0.3 pts on indices.
Economic calendar
Web Trader platform
Our sophisticated web-based platform is packed with features.

USD/JPY weekly outlook: Quarter turn scrambles rates regime
USD/JPY’s tight relationship with front-end US rates broke down sharply last week, but quarter-turn flows and positioning suggest the disconnect may prove temporary.

Gold Update: XAU/USD Remains Under Pressure Even After the NFP Report
As the trading week comes to an end, weakness around gold price action remains evident in the short term. This can be seen in the performance of the past two sessions, where the metal has declined by approximately 0.3%. Although the move has not been particularly aggressive, it highlights that buying pressure continues to struggle to regain control of the market.

What Stretched 10-Year Yields Mean for Major Currency Pairs in Q4
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are nearing a long-term resistance zone with overbought RSI readings, raising near-term pullback risk for the dollar.
This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.
StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.
Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit www.forex.com/en-sg/terms-and-policies for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.






