
Stocks Rally After the Rate Hike but is a Lagging Nasdaq Saying Something?
The response to the rate hike was a strong Thursday outing but ever since Kevin Warsh took over atop the Fed there’s been a shift in equity markets.
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.

The response to the rate hike was a strong Thursday outing but ever since Kevin Warsh took over atop the Fed there’s been a shift in equity markets.

A hawkish Fed and 10-Year Notes on the verge of a push above 5%, yet stocks have so far shrugged off that fear. But can it continue?

The S&P 500 fell on Friday to post a flat close on the week. Rising yields and elevated oil prices reminded investors that the macro backdrop is turning challenging. Friday’s US jobs report raised the pressure on the Fed to hike as the report was considerably stronger than expected. All the attention will be on inflation data in this shortened week for US investors, plus the usual suspects of oil and bond yields, ahead of the FOMC rate decision in the following week.

S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow test key technical levels as momentum fades, raising the risk of a deeper correction heading into a pivotal week.

Is it a bubble or just a mania? While AI holds a lot of promise the valuations are becoming untethered from historical norms but that doesn’t necessarily mean that prices need to come down.

Major U.S. indices enter Fed week at pivotal technical levels as weakening momentum raises the stakes for the next breakout.

Regarding the US-Iran situation, the main news on Saturday was that Trump cancelled Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner's trip to Pakistan for peace talks with Iran. That came after Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi departed Islamabad without meeting with the US. This means that stalemate continues, Strait of Hormuz remains shut, and this should keep oil prices supported.

Equities surged last week with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq breaking to fresh record highs. Is this news reaction overdone or is the bull market about to accelerate?

Markets took a proper hit on Friday, and we could see futures gap lower on Monday, barring a surprise de-escalation in the Iran conflict

Equities plunged last week with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow closing at the lowest levels of the year. Key support levels will now define the next move.

Our S&P 500 outlook remains cautious with a bearish tilt. Unless there’s a sharp improvement in the Middle East situation, markets could head further lower in the week ahead and may even gap lower on Monday.

Equities were mixed for the month with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing lower as the Dow marks a ten-month winning streak. Levels that matter heading into March.

With the US out on Monday for Presidents’ Day and China celebrating Spring Festival all week, it makes sense to focus on European markets to start the week off. So the FTSE 100 forecast is in focus for this week’s weekend indices outlook. We have plenty of UK, European and US earnings to look forward to as the week progresses, while key data from the UK and US will make rate cut expectations a key talking point on both sides of the pond.
StoneX Europe Ltd may make third party material available on this website which may contain information included but not limited to the conditions of financial markets. The material is for information purposes only and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice and/or investment recommendation and/or an investment research and/or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments; any decision to enter into a specific transaction shall be made by the client following an assessment by him/her of their situation.
StoneX Europe Ltd makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied. You should always seek independent advice as to your suitability to speculate in any related markets and your ability to assume the associated risks, if you are at all unsure. We are not under any obligation to update any such material. Any opinion made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinion of StoneX Europe Ltd.