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Crude oil analysis: Could oil prices stage a recovery?

Our crude oil analysis suggests prices may bounce back after having fallen sharply in recent weeks amid waning risks of supply disruptions in the Middle East.

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Yesterday 06:00 PM
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Gold rebound stalls as key market drivers go AWOL

Gold continues to consolidate below just record highs, paying scant attention to movements in other markets and geopolitical headlines since the start of May. As such, until we receive a definitive signal on direction, range trading is favoured near-term.

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Yesterday 04:18 AM
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Crude Oil Price Forecast: WTI Volatility Drops

Crude Oil price forecasts lean towards bullish sentiment as volatility drops towards decade lows. Is this the calm before the storm?

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Research

US dollar, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, VIX analysis: COT report

The BOJ's intervention prevented large speculators from reaching a record level of net-short exposure, asset managers continued to trim net-long exposure to the US dollar and US indices and also flipped to net-long the VIX.

japan_06

USD/JPY: Bullish case eroding fast as US economic data rolls over

The game for USD/JPY changed last week. The likely intervention from the BOJ on at least one occasion to support the Japanese yen, coupled with a large reversal in US bond yields, means the extremely successful strategy of buying dips may have run its course near-term.

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May 6, 2024 01:20 AM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.

Oil drilling in sea

Crude oil analysis: Brent aims to find a low after sharp drop

War risk premium fades but OPEC+ cuts and reduced fears about Eurozone economy keep oil prices supported. Brent oil technical analysis suggest prices are now at key support zone.

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May 3, 2024 01:11 PM
japan_03

USD/JPY: Toppy US bond yields, BOJ intervention threat mean the game has changed

The suspected intervention from the BOJ this week has changed the game for USD/JPY, placing a rather large barrier in the way of further upside at a time when US bond yields were already looking toppy.

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May 3, 2024 02:00 AM
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S&P 500 analysis: Apple earnings and NFP in focus after Fed’s mixed signals

S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.

Energy

Crude Oil Analysis: USOIL and Saudi Aramco Base Oil Test Significant Lows

WTI Crude Oil prices are on edge as anticipation mounts ahead of June's pivotal OPEC meeting

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EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD is rising post-Fed on USD weakness. USD/JPY steadies after another suspected intervention.

Energy

WTI crude oil forecast: Key moment looms with bullish uptrend under threat

WTI crude was looking suspect even before Wednesday’s significant swoon, leaving the price teetering on key uptrend support dating back to the Fed’s rate cut pivot in December. Should it give way, there’s not standing between a larger flush to the mid-$70 per barrel region.

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May 2, 2024 05:02 AM
Forex trading

Another BOJ intervention may have just stole the show from the Fed

It was the Japanese yen which stole the show after Jerome Powell’s press conference, with USD/JPY falling over 450 pips on another suspected BOJ intervention.

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WTI Crude Oil Charts: Oil Demand vs FOMC Statement

WTI Crude Oil takes a dive as market anticipations steer the wheel towards lower demand expectations

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GBP/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD falls ahead of the Fed. USD/JPY pair extends its rebound ahead of the Fed & after Japanese manufacturing PMI data.

Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/USD, USD/JPY key levels heading into ISM, employment, FOMC

The US dollar has rallied on anticipation of a more hawkish Fed ahead of today's meeting. So we take a look at key levels for EUR/USD and USD/JPY.

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FOMC Meeting Preview: Will the Fed Put Rate Hikes on the Table?

US dollar traders will be watching Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference and any decisions about the central bank’s balance sheet runoff as potential market-movers for the US Dollar Index (DXY)

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April 30, 2024 06:21 PM

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Research

Shellshocked USD/JPY holds ground, 6-day rally on AUD/USD: Asian Open

Despite the MOF's best attempts, USD/JPY is holding above 155 - a level traders are clearly watching. AUD/USD shows the potential to extend gains into 66c, but having risen for 6 days already then perhaps the upside potential it limited.

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April 29, 2024 11:44 PM
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USD/JPY: Japan provides a big hint on what may prompt further BOJ yen intervention

Japanese officials had been warning for months that speculative moves in the Japanese yen would not be tolerated without elaborating on what exactly constituted a ‘speculative’ move. We may have just been provided the answer.

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April 29, 2024 11:42 PM
Bank notes of different currencies

Forex Seasonality – May 2024: Pullback Potential in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?

May has historically been the second-worst month for EUR/USD (-0.62%) and GBP/USD (-0.37%) - see what to watch for from the other major currency pairs!

gold_03

Gold analysis: Metal ready to take off again?

Gold analysis: Metal remains fundamentally support, so we could see a renewed rally. This week’s macro highlights include FOMC policy decision, NFP and ISM PMIs. Gold technical analysis shows prices respecting the 21-day exponential moving average.

Oil drilling in sea

U.S. Crude Oil Outlook: WTI Oil Market Trends Amid Fed Rate Decisions and PMI Results

WTI Crude Oil Outlook: From pipelines to policies, mapping Crude Oil market trends amid Fed rate decisions, employment indicators, and PMI results

Forex trading

USD/JPY plunges 400 pips after suspected intervention

It was supposed to be a quiet day with Japan on a public holiday. Yet the initial rally to 160 may have irked central authorities enough to ditch their supposed day off, intervene and send USD/JPY 400-pips lower.

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April 29, 2024 06:56 AM