RBNZ

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NZD/USD: Retail spending volumes stabilise ahead of RBNZ interest rate decision

Retail spending in New Zealand was unchanged in the September quarter after accounting for price movements, an improvement on the 1% drop reported in the prior three-month period than was a tenth larger than originally reported.

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November 23, 2023 10:15 PM
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NZD/USD: Rising labour market slack points to soft wages and no more RBNZ rate hikes

NZD/USD is falling in the wake of a soft New Zealand employment report, reinforcing the view that when the RBNZ next moves interest rates, it’s far more likely to be a cut than hike.

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October 31, 2023 10:28 PM

NZD/USD: Inflation undershoot opens the door to RBNZ rate cuts next year

New Zealand inflationary pressures moderated-more-than expected in the September quarter, taking the wind out of the NZD/USD’s sails following the expected election victory from the National Party-led coalition over the weekend.

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October 16, 2023 11:25 PM

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NZD/USD turns lower as the RBNZ hold rates once more

NZD/USD's break above 60c ahead of the RBNZ's announced that they held rates at 5.5% again was shortly lived, and momentum has turned decisively lower. Ans there could be further downside to come.

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The RBNZ hold rates, AUD/USD breaks out ahead of US CPI

The RBNZ held their cash rate steady for the first time following 12 consecutive hikes, whilst AUD/USD broke above its 200-day MA ahead of a key US inflation report.

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NZD/USD analysis: The RBNZ’s latest 25bp hike could be their last

NZD pairs were lower after the RBNZ hiked for a 12th consecutive meeting and signalled they may have reached a peak rate of 5.5%. At least for now.

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May 24, 2023 04:17 AM
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AUD/USD, NZD/USD analysis: RBNZ to deliver a hawkish hike?

The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) are expected to hike by another 25bp tomorrow, despite 1 and 2-year inflation expectations plummeting at their fastest pace since the pandemic.

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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 20, 2023 01:30 AM
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The RBNZ surprise with a 50bp interest rate hike

Not for the first time, the RBNZ surpassed market expectations with a 50bp hike, raising their cash rate for an 11th consecutive meeting to 5.25%.

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RBNZ deliver a 50bp hike, AU wages softer than forecast

Today’s 50bp hike suggests there are more hikes to come, but we note that they removed the 100bp increment from their debate and slowed their pace of tightening.

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February 22, 2023 02:14 AM
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RBNZ could hike by 50bp on Wednesday (but don’t discount a 75bp hike)

Whilst economists and market pricing favour a 50bp RBNZ hike on Wednesday, the potential for a 75bp hike is real.

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February 20, 2023 02:32 AM
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European Open: RBNZ deliver a hawkish 75bp hike, FOMC minutes up next

As if 75bp was not enough, the RBNZ came out swinging by increasing their terminal rate much higher than we anticipated.

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“Less Hawkish” RBA weighs on AUD/NZD

With the RBA only hiking rates by 25bps at each of the last two meetings, the RBNZ is the more hawkish of the two central banks.

November 1, 2022 03:05 PM
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Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 07:59 PM
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Will NZD/USD take out the March 2020 lows?

If the price action is the same after the CPI print as it was after the hawkish RBNZ, then bounces will be sold into and the pair could take out the lows.

October 17, 2022 07:59 PM
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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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NZ business sentiment is less dire, RBNZ hint at rate cycle high

Business sentiment is not as pessimistic as it recently was, and RBNZ governor Orr described the central bank’s tightening cycle as ‘very mature’.

RBNZ Review Hawkish Orr strike fails to boost bird - NZDUSD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has today raised the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 3%. It is the RBNZ’s fourth straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

August 17, 2022 04:43 AM

August RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZDUSD

At its meeting tomorrow, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points taking the cash rate to 3%. It will be the RBNZ’s fourth consecutive 50bp hike in a tightening cycle that started in October.

August 16, 2022 02:57 AM

NZDUSD remains grounded despite a third straight 50bp RBNZ rate hike

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has today raised the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to 2.50%. It was the RBNZ’s third straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

July 13, 2022 04:48 AM

RBNZ Preview and what next for the NZDUSD

At its meeting on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points taking the cash rate to 2.50%. It will be the RBNZ’s third straight 50bp hike in a row, in a tightening cycle that started back in October.

July 11, 2022 04:26 AM

RBNZ preview and what comes next for the NZDUSD?

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate by another 50 basis points to 2.00% at its meeting tomorrow. The real focus will be on the accompanying Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), which will provide updated inflation forecasts and OCR track changes.

May 24, 2022 08:02 AM