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Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support

USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase

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Yesterday 10:24 AM
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EUR/USD analysis: Cooler inflation fails to shift ECB hike bets

Investors’ focus now turns back to US data as speculation over whether the Fed will hike in June continues. Watch out for fresh EUR/USD analysis from the team as the data could shift Fed bets again.

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Japanese yen analysis: USD/JPY testing key support at 134.00

Despite today’s weakness in the greenback, USD/JPY is still holding above a short-term bullish trend line, as well as its 50- and 200-day EMAs in the 134.00 area

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May 10, 2023 12:43 PM

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US dollar analysis: How sticky will core CPI be?

The Cleveland Fed’s widely-watched Inflation Nowcast suggests potential upside risk to the release...

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May 9, 2023 12:58 PM
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US dollar analysis: Fed threads the needle, still sees no cuts

Powell appears to be threading the needle between leaving the door open for additional rate hikes while remaining responsive to the current banking stresses.

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May 3, 2023 03:31 PM
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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 19, 2023 08:30 PM
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EUR/USD forecast: Traders eye 1.10 on softer US inflation data

The weaker US inflation data supports our bullish EURUSD forecast: We think that the single currency is likely heading above $1.10 soon.

April 12, 2023 09:39 AM
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Australia's softer inflation could see the RBA hold rates next week

AUD pairs are broadly lower as inflation falls to 6.8% y/y (7.1% expected), bolstering expectations that the RBA will hold rates at their April meeting.

BoE lifts interest rates to highest since 2008

A 25-basis point rate hike was mostly priced in, especially in light of the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday

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GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds

The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.

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European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting

Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.

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March 22, 2023 01:47 AM
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Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision

We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.

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US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations

The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021

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March 14, 2023 10:05 AM
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US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 10:54 AM
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Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot

The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.

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February 28, 2023 10:05 AM

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EUR/USD: Rally potential after hot Spanish and French CPI readings

The ECB had already planned a half-point rate move in March, and these stronger readings are likely to bolster officials who say that more big moves are needed beyond that to get inflation under control.

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February 28, 2023 08:46 AM
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Traders to get another inflation fix ahead of the weekend

Markets cannot get enough of US inflation data at present and what it means for the Fed. And that means today’s PCE figures are now likely the more important.

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February 24, 2023 12:48 AM
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EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI

Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.

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February 23, 2023 12:03 AM
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European flash PMI’s and Canada inflation report in focus

CAD/JPY has piqued our interest ahead of today's economic data, which includes PMI's for Europe and the US and Canada's inflation and retail reports.

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February 21, 2023 12:09 AM
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FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY

Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!

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February 1, 2023 03:07 PM
Research

AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather

There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.