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Four guys walk into a bar before central bank meetings…….

Will the RBA signal that they are going to pause the rate hike cycle?

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Yesterday 03:03 PM

ECB hikes 50bps, as expected. Another 50bps hike to come in March

During the press conference, Christine Lagarde seemed to be talking out of both sides of her mouth.

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Yesterday 11:42 AM
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NFP preview: Imbalanced labor market to remain a thorn in the Fed’s side?

Will this finally be the reading that shows signals the tight labor market is easing?

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Yesterday 09:47 AM

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Congress building

US open: Tech rallies after Meta impresses & a less hawkish Fed

US stocks head broadly higher after a less hawkish than expected Federal Reserve and as Meta impresses. Big tech will be in focus ahead of more earnings after the close.

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Yesterday 08:59 AM

BoE’s dovish hike leaves pound in limbo

Investors are wondering whether the BoE was done with hiking...

Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, EUR/USD

GBP/USD rises towards 1.24 post-Fed & ahead of the BoE. EUR/USD rises above 1.10 with all eyes on the ECB.

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Yesterday 03:23 AM
Close-up of market chart

EUR/GBP probes YTD high ahead of BOE and ECB meetings

With the Fed having delivered their 25bp yesterday, it is now over to the BOE ECB today, who are expected to hike by 100bp between them.

Research

Fed fund pricing calls bulldust on Fed hike(s)

Whilst the Fed effectively confirmed two more 25bp hikes to are to follow, Fed fund futures remain unconvinced and are pricing in a single hike to take rates to 5%.

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February 1, 2023 10:25 PM
Federal reserve building close-up

FOMC hikes 25bps, as expected. More rate hikes to come?

Today’s FOMC meeting was uneventful. However, Powell’s press conference which followed provided less hawkish comments for the markets to feast on

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February 1, 2023 04:21 PM
Research

FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY

Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!

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February 1, 2023 03:07 PM
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Big miss for ADP Employment Change; weather cited

Will the weather effect from today’s ADP Employment Change have the same effect on January’s NFP report?

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February 1, 2023 11:09 AM
Congress building

US open: Stocks fall as Snap disappoints & ahead of the Fed

Stocks are heading southwards after Snap, a usual canary in the coal mine, posts the slowest revenue growth since going public in 2017 and as investors await the Fed rate decision.

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February 1, 2023 08:31 AM
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