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Bullish bets for gold futures are on the rise

After identifying a potential sentiment extreme a couple of weeks ago, we now note that bullish bets for the December gold futures contract have spiked.

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Today 12:43 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

The US dollar index (DXY) hints at a swing low ahead of NFP

After a 5-day correction, the US dollar index is showing signs of stability above a key support zone.

Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?

After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?

GBP/USD off lows following another bruising session

The slide was more of a dollar-rebound story rather than about the pound, although the cable was among the weakest of the majors

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Yesterday 12:40 PM

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Oil rig on an grey day

OPEC+ agrees to a 2,000,000bpd cut!

How much higher will Brent Crude go? It may depend of the size of the energy crisis that is brewing throughout Europe, as well as the extend to any type of price cap placed on Russian oil.

Japanese Flag

USD/JPY: Signs of Fed pivot or mere countertrend dip?

There’s only one problem with the Fed pivot narrative: Traders aren’t buying it (yet, at least)!

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Yesterday 10:30 AM
Congress building

US open: Stocks fall, ADP payroll data is stronger than expected

After two days of strong gains risk sentiment is faltering. ADP payrolls beat forecasts ahead of Friday's NFP data.

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Yesterday 08:50 AM
Close-up of market chart

European Open: DAX to extend its countertrend bounce? OPEC in focus

Whilst futures markets point towards a retracement against yesterday’s gains across European cash markets, we’re looking for support to hold and break above yesterday’s highs.

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The RBNZ hiked by 50bp – but a 75bp hike was considered

The RBNZ hiked for an eight consecutive meeting to take interest rates to 3.5%.

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JOLTS job openings - an employment miss (not to be missed)

Rate hikes are really beginning to take a bite out of the US employment numbers, with job openings falling at their fastest pace since the pandemic.

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October 4, 2022 07:52 PM
"Newspaper snippet of jobs board"

Could the Non-Farm Payrolls print be…….BAD?

If the NFP print is weaker than expected, there will be a lot of talk about the Fed "pivot", and markets may see the current trends in stocks and the US Dollar continue!

October 4, 2022 03:35 PM
Multiple Euro bank notes in 20€, 50€ and 100€

Guide to the 531 forex trading strategy

The 5-3-1 trading strategy is a guide for currency traders that helps you lock in the basics of your trading plan including which forex pairs to trade and the best time to trade.

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Technical Tuesday: Gold, EUR/USD and S&P 500

In this week’s edition, we are getting technical on the 10-year US bond yields, gold, EUR/USD and S&P 500.

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