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Thumping AU jobs report supports further gains for AUDNZD

Good news today for the Australian economy as the employment report for June stunned with across-the-board strength.

Research

AUD traders ‘sold the fact’ as RBA hiked by 50-bps as expected

The Australian dollar was promptly sold off on the confirmation that the RBA hikes rates by 50-bps, as traders seemingly bought the rumour and sold the fact.

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July 5, 2022 06:22 AM
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European Open: The RBA opt for a nifty 50, USD/JPY breaks 132

The RBA didn’t hold back and opted for a 50-bps hike at today’s meeting, which is a first since February 2000.

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June 7, 2022 06:48 AM

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Futures traders load up on AUD longs (despite falling prices)

With prices falling whilst futures traders increase their bullish exposure to the Australian dollar, we’re keen to see if it can hold above 0.73 and form a countertrend bounce.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Fastest pace of AUD short covering since March 2020

Last week, AUD shorts were culled at their fastest pace since March 2020, when eye watering levels of stimulus was rolled out at their height of the pandemic.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Managed funds most bullish on gold in 3-months

Bullish exposure continues to fall for the US dollar despite the Fed on the cusp of beginning their rate-hike cycle.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT report: Net-long exposure to gold fell sharply last week

Given the lacklustre bounce on gold alongside a rise in short bets and closure of longs last week, we retain the view that its recent bounce is corrective.

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Asian Open: ASX 200 on track for its worst month since the pandemic

The Australian dollar was lower against all majors except NZD last week. It wasn’t a great week for the ASX 200 either which is on track for its worst month since the pandemic.

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Asian Open: Flash PMI’s in focus, AUD probes trend support

Flash PMI data is released across Asia, Europe and the US. And on the back of last week’s risk-off week then markets may be more sensitive to soft data should it disappoint.

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January 23, 2022 09:56 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Bearish exposure to AUD hits a new record

AT -91.5k contracts net-short, it is the most aggressively bearish exposure on AUD futures by large speculators on record.

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European Open: Risk-off tone recedes, bear trap on AUD?

Whilst not a risk-on session, there was a notable lift in sentiment across equity markets and currencies. And AUD’s false break of 71c hasn’t gone unnoticed either.

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AU Q3 GDP beat boosts the AUDUSD

Australian Q3 GDP fell by -1.9%, significantly beating market expectations for a -2.7% fall. The fall is the first quarter of negative growth since the 6.8% fall recorded in the June Quarter of 2020 and means the Australian economy is once again smaller than where it was pre the onset of the pandemic.

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December 1, 2021 02:16 AM
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Rise of new Covid variant sparks risk-off trade in Asia

Rise of new Covid variant sparks risk-off trade in Asia

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Asian Open: AUD/CAD Looks Set to Head South

Lower trading volumes due to Thanksgiving in the US made for a quiet session overnight, but that didn’t prevent the AUD/CAD cross making a ‘break’ for it.

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November 25, 2021 10:09 PM
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Weekly COT Report: Pound Shorts Intensify

Traders were their most bearish on British pound futures in 17-months, according to last week’s commitment of traders report.

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Asian Open: Fed Chair Announcement Pushed Back

Whilst Joe Biden did not announce his decision for the Fed Chair “within four days”, a Whitehouse spokesman says it will be announced before Thanksgiving on Thursday.

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Asian Open: Pound Sinks Post-BOE, AUD/CHF Falls to 4-week Low

The Bank of England (BOE) became the second central bank to catch out hawkish bets this week, behind the RBA – and both events continue to weigh on their respective currencies.

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European Open: Volatility Subsides Ahead of Today’s FOMC Meeting

The Fed’s policy decision will be announced at 18:00 GMT, where anything less than an announcement to taper will be seen as a disappointment.

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Asian Open: Wall Street Places Earnings over Bottlenecks, RBA up Next

Earnings continued to exceed expectations and propelled indices to new record highs, despite supply chain issues weighing on US productivity.

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Asian Open: Bearish Reversal Candle at ATH on SPX, AU CPI Up Next

Whilst one candle cannot break such a strong trend, the bearish hammer on the S&P 500 at its record high is a near-term sign of exhaustion, at the very least.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weekly COT Report: AUD Bears Capitulate

A summary of the weekly Commitment of Traders Report (COT) from CFTC to show market positioning among large speculators.

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October 25, 2021 01:51 AM
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Asian Open: Powell Says its Time to Taper, but Not Raise Rates

Leaving little room for misinterpretation on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell clearly stated that tapering is imminent yet poured cold water on any rate hike occurring soon.

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RBA rebuke takes heat out of the AUDUSD rally

The release yesterday of the RBA meeting minutes for the October board meeting provided little in the way of new information.

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October 20, 2021 02:10 AM