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DAX, EUR/USD outlook: Lagarde likely to opt for "higher for longer" narrative

The EUR/USD outlook hinges on the two major central bank decisions in as many days. First up, the Fed must decide whether to signal a pause for September after a likely 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, a signal that could have a major impact on the direction of the dollar. Once we know that, then all eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday. The latter could revert back to data-dependency, something which the markets have been pricing in with the EUR/USD falling over the past week and a half.

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July 25, 2023 12:30 PM
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EUR/USD outlook: ECB could deliver hawkish surprise - preview

The EUR/USD outlook is clearly going to change this week with both the Fed and ECB rate decisions to come ahead of US non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The stickiness of Eurozone inflation means there is a greater risk for a hawkish surprise.

ECB interest rate rise: Supersize or jumbo?

ECB preview: The big question this month is not if the ECB will hike but whether it be by 50 or 75 basis points?

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September 6, 2022 11:25 AM

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EUR/CHF set for breakout as focus turns to ECB

It is all about whether the ECB will follow other central banks in signalling a 50-basis point hike, or a more standard 25 for July.

Get ready for the ECB to hike rates (just not tomorrow)

The ECB are set to announce their monetary policy decision tomorrow, where the focus will be on forward guidance for rates from July onwards.

European Open: ECB Meeting and US GDP in Focus

With an ECB meeting and advanced read of Q3 GDP for the US up next, EUR/USD remains a pair to look at for any volatile reactions.

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