Bonds

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Commitment of traders report (COT): Bears pile into silver, GBP and JPY

Traders increased net-short exposure to metals (most notably silver), but also increased their bearish outlook on GBP and JPY futures.

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September 18, 2022 10:31 PM
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Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US

If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.

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July 27, 2022 04:05 PM
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All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC

In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.

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The yen, FX intervention and the BOJ’s yield curve control

The yen has been a key focal point for momentum traders during its sharp depreciation, to the extent it could risk a BOJ intervention or cancellation of their YCC target.

Research

Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.

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CPI Preview: Is inflation close to peaking?

After a surge to 7% YoY for December, CPI is expected to have increase to 7.3% YoY in January.

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February 8, 2022 02:48 PM

Stagflation headlines abound: How likely is it and how can traders prepare?

If we do enter a stagflationary environment, there may be relatively few investments that perform well - see what they are and what to avoid!

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October 14, 2021 11:08 AM
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10 Central Banks – Where they stand towards normalizing policy

With the world beginning to gain control over the coronavirus pandemic, watch for central banks to continue to normalize monetary policy

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September 17, 2021 07:34 AM
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Is USD/JPY finally ready to break out?

If yields continue moving lower over the next few weeks, USD/JPY should move with it

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September 14, 2021 12:08 PM

USD/JPY at decision point after Suga resignation

USD/JPY is currently trading between tight resistance and support

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September 8, 2021 07:59 AM

Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY

However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move

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August 18, 2021 08:22 AM
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What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained

The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.

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June 17, 2021 12:35 AM
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Don’t Fight the Fed! Yields, Gold, and DXY

Interpreting key levels in the markets are important for traders to understand

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April 15, 2021 11:39 AM
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The rise of the US Dollar and Yields into month/quarter end

Be cautious of a possible pullback in the DXY and 10 year-yields after March 31st

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March 30, 2021 08:19 AM
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7-year auction Preview: Will it be as bad as February’s auction?

Will a bad auction cause yields and the DXY to spike higher?

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March 24, 2021 12:47 PM
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Shady US CPI data; 10 Year Auction and ECB ahead

With the US auctions today and the ECB meeting tomorrow, price in both the DXY and EUR/USD can move in a hurry.

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March 10, 2021 05:21 AM

US Auctions will be closely monitored this week!

On February 25th, the Treasury auctioned 7-year notes. It did not go well.

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March 8, 2021 12:18 PM

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Non-farm Payrolls strong as markets are unsure what to do

The Fed’s focus right now is on jobs!

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March 5, 2021 06:15 AM
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Is Operation Twist in the Fed’s future?

Markets will be monitoring Powell's speech very closely for any hints as to what the Fed may do next.

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March 4, 2021 04:23 AM
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European Open: Futures point lower, rising yields remain key

Overnight moves across Asia were an extension of Wall Street’s theme - higher yields and lower equities. Yet currencies remain relatively unharmed.

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March 3, 2021 07:48 PM
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February 24, 2021 11:51 AM
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Rise in US Yields Dragging Yen Pairs with It: US 10-Year Yields, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

If US bonds continue to move lower, we can expect Yen to move lower as well

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December 1, 2020 06:32 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

Coronavirus Headlines Push 10-Year Yields to New All Time Lows, Tracking USD/JPY

When USD/JPY is overlaid on 10-year yields, we can see that these 2 assets are correlated.