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Canadian CPI lower than expected. Are the BOC rate hikes working?

CPI for August out of Canada was lower than expected. As a result, EUR/CAD is trading higher on the day.

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September 20, 2022 10:36 AM
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GBP/USD testing key level as UK and US inflation remain hot

Are we going to see the cable go back down again?

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September 14, 2022 12:30 PM

US CPI comes in hotter than expected! Is a 75bps rate hike locked in?

US August CPI came in hotter than expected, but the bigger surprise was the strength in the Core CPI reading.

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September 13, 2022 10:10 AM

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US Dollar retreats further ahead of US CPI

Barring a very low print, today’s CPI report is unlikely to significantly impact expectations around Fed tightening.

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September 13, 2022 06:47 AM
Research

2 Trades to watch for today’s US inflation report: EUR, Gold

Today's US inflation report is a key event this week for traders, who are placing bets that it will soften ahead of the report to send equities higher and the US dollar lower.

US CPI preview: Inflation could fall to 8%, but the Fed isn’t slowing down yet

To the downside, the first key support level to watch on USD/JPY will be 139.50, where prices topped out back in July...

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September 9, 2022 03:21 PM
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Mexico inflation higher, again! USD/MXN

Mexico’s CPI continues to climb. As such, so does the value of the Peso.

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September 8, 2022 12:24 PM
Research

Yes, inflation may have peak but it “remains far too high”

Sometimes the obvious needs to be said. And that is exactly what the BOC’s deputy governor said in his op-ed by stating inflation “remains far too high”.

Canadian July CPI weaker than previous month. Peak inflation for Canada?

The July Canadian CPI print came in weaker than June’s print and USD/CAD sold off. Traders may have been expecting an even weaker print, similar to that of the US CPI.

August 16, 2022 10:57 AM

Gold dips despite softening signs of inflation

Perhaps a bit of basing and consolidation is needed for the metal to gear up for a clean breakout above $1800.

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August 11, 2022 12:17 PM

USD/JPY heading to 130?

With the odds of 75 basis point hike having dropped, the Fed is careful not to push too hard against that...

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Weak US CPI means EUR/USD 1.05 no longer unrealistic

The US inflation report lived up to expectations in terms of market impact!

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August 10, 2022 01:30 PM

US CPI recap: A turning point in the inflation debate?

If the “peak inflation” theme gathers steam in the coming weeks, we may look back at today’s inflation reading as a major turning point for the year-to-date market trends.

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August 10, 2022 08:55 AM
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US CPI preview: Are we past peak inflation?

Headline inflation reading may show price pressures fading while the Fed’s preferred “core” (ex-energy and food) CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising

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August 8, 2022 12:29 PM
Research

GBP/USD: What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger

GBP/USD is down only modestly despite so much negative news...

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August 5, 2022 12:41 PM
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Heed the SNB’s warning if inflation reading is high!

The SNB has already given warnings that it could take monetary policy action between meetings if necessary.

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August 2, 2022 03:40 PM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Japan data dump won’t help the Yen; USD/JPY

If the data dump later comes out as expected, will the BOJ turn less dovish? It's unlikely.

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July 28, 2022 02:59 PM

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Research

AU Q2 inflation surges but fears ease over supersized 75bp RBA rate hike

June quarter Australian inflation data has surged to 6.1%, but below consensus expectations easing fears of a supersized 75bp rate hike when the RBA meets next week.

Bank notes of different currencies

Mexico CPI continues to rise; rate hikes not helping yet

The headline mid-month inflation rate for July is 8.16% YoY , led primarily by rising food costs. This is the highest level of inflation in 21 years!

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July 22, 2022 11:14 AM

Canada CPI weaker than expected – Peak inflation?

Although the June CPI reading for Canada was higher than the May reading, the headline was much lower than expected.

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July 20, 2022 10:28 AM
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Traders see continued rate hikes over the next year, despite concerns of a recession

Will central banks be able to raise rates fast enough to keep higher inflation at bay, while simultaneously keeping the world out of a recession?

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July 18, 2022 03:30 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold rises, dollar slumps despite hot CPI

Hot CPI readings may hurt the economy so badly that the Fed may start cutting rates again in as early as Q1

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July 13, 2022 11:39 AM

US CPI comes in hot! US Dollar on the move

The US CPI print came out much hotter than expected 9.1% YoY. This print, combined with the strong employment data, should give the Fed confidence to hike at least 75bps

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July 13, 2022 10:05 AM